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2017 Free Agency Preview: Running Backs
2017 Free Agency Preview: Running Backs
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 05:30 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from overthecap.com. Unrestricted Free Agents Le’Veon Bell (Pit, 24) – The Steelers absolutely ran Bell into the ground from Week 11 on in six regular season games and two postseason contests, so we can’t say it was totally shocking that the wear and tear final...
2017 Free Agency Preview: Quarterbacks
2017 Free Agency Preview: Quarterbacks
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 05:29 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from overthecap.com. Unrestricted Free Agents Kirk Cousins (Was, 28) – Cousins had overall a very efficient and effective 2016 season. But he came up very small at the worst possible time – he played poorly in Week 17 in a must-win game against a Giants team th...
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 11:06 AM EST
After two injury laden and disappointing years in Jacksonville with the always-enigmatic Blake Bortles, Julius Thomas is headed down Florida’s coast to South Beach. Per various media reports, Jacksonville traded Thomas for Miami’s 2017 seventh round pick. Oddly, after rumors swirled the two teams w...
2017 Free Agency Preview: Team Needs
2017 Free Agency Preview: Team Needs
PUBLISHED: Monday, February 20, 2017 02:40 PM EST
*Bold indicates teams with greatest needs Quarterbacks Starter *Bills, *Jets, *Redskins, *Browns, *Bears, Texans, Broncos, *49ers Backup *Giants, Ravens, *Steelers, Lions, Vikings, Colts, *Titans, *Falcons, Saints, *Buccaneers, *Chargers, *Cardinals, Rams, Seahawks No Need Dolphins, Patriots,...
2017 Free Agency Preview: Intro/Glossary
2017 Free Agency Preview: Intro/Glossary
PUBLISHED: Monday, February 20, 2017 02:38 PM EST
There weren't too many blockbuster signings at the skill positions last year, but it's a pretty good skill position class this year for free agency so we'll be closely watching to see which studs re-sign and which ones seek out a new home. After a three-day negotiating period for teams, the new leag...
Quarterback Career Length
Quarterback Career Length
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 16, 2017 01:18 PM EST
Every so often, when working on a study, some other topic piques my interest. While working on QB Career Years, I got to wondering how long the careers of running QBs are vs. traditional dropback quarterbacks. So this is a quick look at that question. The first thing is to define terms and scope th...
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 15, 2017 09:41 AM EST
If you’re like me, you played a ton of video games all throughout your childhood. Sounds fun, right? I’m not a total dork—I promise. Seriously though, some of my best memories as a kid involve a game called Backyard Football on those old, clunky PC’s where the hard drive tower alone weighed in exce...
2017 Coaching Changes
2017 Coaching Changes
PUBLISHED: Monday, February 13, 2017 05:40 PM EST
Atlanta Falcons Head Coach: Dan Quinn (holdover) Offensive Coordinator: Steve Sarkisian Defensive Coordinator: Marquand Manuel About Sarkisian: The Falcons are really rolling the dice with their hire of Sarkisian, who is certainly well regarded in coaching circles but comes with some major bagga...
QB Production After Career Years
QB Production After Career Years
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 10, 2017 11:50 AM EST
That’s usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It’s generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They’re almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 9, 2017 02:30 PM EST
So far this offseason, I've reviewed QB and RB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s WR fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). WR Scoring used: Rushing...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC South
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC South
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 8, 2017 03:54 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Atlanta Falcons (11-5; 1st in NFC South) Quarterbacks Matt Ryan – After one of the most impressive quarterback seasons in history, the Falcons’ season ended in utter and blatant despair. The world watched as the Falcons’ slowly bled away a 28...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC East
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC East
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 7, 2017 11:51 AM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Buffalo Bills (7-9; 3rd in AFC East) Quarterbacks Tyrod Taylor – Nothing is official yet, but reading through the tealeaves coming out of Buffalo at the end of the season, it sure feels like Taylor’s time in Buffalo is over. Taylor was actual...
2016's Lessons Learned
2016's Lessons Learned
PUBLISHED: Monday, February 6, 2017 05:42 PM EST
“This game’s over.” That was my tweet at 7:44 PM EST Super Bowl Sunday as the Falcons pulled out to a 21-0 lead. I’m not that naïve/stupid enough to truly believe the game was 100% over, but that was my way of saying the Pats were in big, big trouble. And when the Falcons scored another TD in the ...
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, February 4, 2017 09:40 PM EST
It’s a Super Bowl Special Edition Stat-Pack! With just 2 teams to examine, I’ll focus on both sides of the ball for each team.   Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5). Falcons Offense Since ATL lost to K...
Super Bowl Player Previews
Super Bowl Player Previews
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 3, 2017 11:36 AM EST
  Quarterbacks 1. Tom Brady (NE vs. Atl, Sun. 6:30 p.m.) Last five weeks: 92/140 (65.7%), 1161 yards, 11 TDs, 2 INTs, 9/4/0 rushing, 25.6 FPG At 39-years-old, Brady is making his unprecedented seventh Super Bowl appearance this weekend. By every stretch of the imagination, Tom Brady has been abs...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC West
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC West
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 03:23 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Arizona Cardinals (7-8-1; 2nd in NFC West) Quarterbacks Carson Palmer – The Cardinals were expected to compete for a Super Bowl in 2016 – after all, they came within one game of representing the NFC in 2015. So there’s no doubt their 2016 sea...
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 12:54 PM EST
Last week, I reviewed QB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s RB fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). RB Scoring used: Rushing/Receiving TD = 6 Fant...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC West
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC West
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 03:17 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Denver Broncos (9-7; 3rd in AFC West) Quarterbacks Trevor Siemian – We always considered it strange that Siemian was actually drafted in 2015, considering he threw just 7 TD to 11 INT as a senior at Northwestern, and finished his college care...
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 01:48 PM EST
In working on my article on 2016 Strength of Schedule Adjusted RB Scores, I noticed something that took me back to a short piece I wrote in June last year. I'm going to update that article, which I've quoted in its entirety (in italics) below, and add a couple of more charts. We all know last year ...
Super Bowl Kick Returners Preview
Super Bowl Kick Returners Preview
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 31, 2017 04:40 PM EST
R Player  Tm  Pos Vs.  2016 TDs PR Yds PR TDs KR Yds KR TDs Comments  1 Eric Weems Atl WR NE 0 10 0 52 0 New England has not allowed more than 86 combined return yards in six straight games. 2 Dion Lewis NE RB Atl 1 0 ...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC North
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: NFC North
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 31, 2017 01:22 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Chicago Bears (3-13; 4th in NFC North) Quarterbacks Jay Cutler – The Cutler Era in Chicago will likely unceremoniously end this off-season after a mostly polarizing eight years with the Bears. He sprained his thumb in Week 2 and missed five g...
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
PUBLISHED: Monday, January 30, 2017 12:56 PM EST
After a long NFL regular season, it is officially time to switch gears and focus on the upcoming NFL Draft. With the offseason on the horizon, I am embarking on a lengthy, fun, and significant process called Yards Created. If you’re new or need a refresher on what Yards Created is all about, I’d hi...
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 27, 2017 10:19 AM EST
Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points (FP)) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy schedules in order to better predict player performance next season. I look at all the offensi...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC South
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC South
PUBLISHED: Thursday, January 26, 2017 02:37 PM EST
Note: Free agency and salary data is from spotrac.com. Houston Texans (9-7; 1st in AFC South) Quarterbacks Brock Osweiler – Where do we even begin? After an abysmal season in which Osweiler barely managed to look competent in even routine situations, Houston will likely look elsewhere at the quar...
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC North
2016/2017 Division Review/Preview: AFC North
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 25, 2017 01:00 PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers (11-5; 1st in AFC North) Quarterbacks Ben Roethlisberger – It wasn’t too long ago that the Steelers had one of the best receiving corps in the league. Then WR Martavis Bryant was suspended for the season, TE Ladarius Green couldn’t get on the field consistently in 2016, and WR ...

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