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Articles: Stat Info & Analysis

Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 11:06 AM EST
After two injury laden and disappointing years in Jacksonville with the always-enigmatic Blake Bortles, Julius Thomas is headed down Florida’s coast to South Beach. Per various media reports, Jacksonville traded Thomas for Miami’s 2017 seventh round pick. Oddly, after rumors swirled the two teams w...
Quarterback Career Length
Quarterback Career Length
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 16, 2017 01:18 PM EST
Every so often, when working on a study, some other topic piques my interest. While working on QB Career Years, I got to wondering how long the careers of running QBs are vs. traditional dropback quarterbacks. So this is a quick look at that question. The first thing is to define terms and scope th...
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 15, 2017 09:41 AM EST
If you’re like me, you played a ton of video games all throughout your childhood. Sounds fun, right? I’m not a total dork—I promise. Seriously though, some of my best memories as a kid involve a game called Backyard Football on those old, clunky PC’s where the hard drive tower alone weighed in exce...
QB Production After Career Years
QB Production After Career Years
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 10, 2017 11:50 AM EST
That’s usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It’s generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They’re almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 9, 2017 02:30 PM EST
So far this offseason, I've reviewed QB and RB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s WR fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). WR Scoring used: Rushing...
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, February 4, 2017 09:40 PM EST
It’s a Super Bowl Special Edition Stat-Pack! With just 2 teams to examine, I’ll focus on both sides of the ball for each team.   Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5). Falcons Offense Since ATL lost to K...
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 12:54 PM EST
Last week, I reviewed QB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s RB fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). RB Scoring used: Rushing/Receiving TD = 6 Fant...
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 01:48 PM EST
In working on my article on 2016 Strength of Schedule Adjusted RB Scores, I noticed something that took me back to a short piece I wrote in June last year. I'm going to update that article, which I've quoted in its entirety (in italics) below, and add a couple of more charts. We all know last year ...
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
PUBLISHED: Monday, January 30, 2017 12:56 PM EST
After a long NFL regular season, it is officially time to switch gears and focus on the upcoming NFL Draft. With the offseason on the horizon, I am embarking on a lengthy, fun, and significant process called Yards Created. If you’re new or need a refresher on what Yards Created is all about, I’d hi...
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 27, 2017 10:19 AM EST
Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points (FP)) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy schedules in order to better predict player performance next season. I look at all the offensi...
The Future of Kirk Cousins
The Future of Kirk Cousins
PUBLISHED: Thursday, January 19, 2017 10:36 AM EST
My local paper's lead sports columnist had a piece today on whether or not Washington should sign Kirk Cousins to a long-term contract. His argument was that the team should, and he argued that "it’s a lot more likely that he stays the same or gets better than he regresses." So I wondered if that wa...
Championship Round Production Tracker
Championship Round Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 18, 2017 04:23 PM EST
It is time to review the defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a heat ...
Conference Championship Round Stat-Pack
Conference Championship Round Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 17, 2017 01:48 PM EST
It’s a special playoff version of Stat Pack! I will go team-by-team and breakdown three (five!) key statistics with a forward-looking view. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Instead of writing the col...
Divisional Round Snap Report
Divisional Round Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 17, 2017 09:45 AM EST
Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones played 42 offensive snaps (58%). Because he hasn’t been 100% healthy, he hasn’t been playing as many snaps as earlier in the season, but still makes the most of every snap. WR Mohamed Sanu led all WRs with 49 offensive snaps (68%). He also caught his first postseason...
Divisional Round Production Tracker
Divisional Round Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, January 11, 2017 02:29 PM EST
It is time to review the defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a heat ...
Divisional Round Stat-Pack
Divisional Round Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 11:59 PM EST
It’s a special playoff version of Stat Pack! I will go team-by-team and breakdown three (five!) key statistics with a forward-looking view. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Instead of writing the co...
Wild-Card Round Snap Report
Wild-Card Round Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 11:49 PM EST
Green Bay Packers WR Jordy Nelson played in 16 offensive snaps (23%) before taking a shot to the ribs, knocking him out of the game. Continuing his roll, WR Davante Adams played 70 offensive snaps (99%). WR Randall Cobb did not play in Week 17 but came back in the Wild-Card game and played 55...
Inside the Boxscore: Wild-Card Round
Inside the Boxscore: Wild-Card Round
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 11:47 PM EST
Pittsburgh Steelers WR DeMarcus Ayers had 2 targets and 2 receptions for 21 yards, and 0 TDs. He also had 4 deep balls. Yds/Tgt: 10.5, Catch Rate: 100.0%. WR Eli Rogers had 1 target and 1 reception for 19 yards. Yds/Tgt: 19.0, Catch Rate: 100.0%. WR Darrius Heyward-Bey had 1 target and 1 receptio...
Wild-Card Round Production Tracker
Wild-Card Round Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 11:06 PM EST
Published, 1/4/17   It is a special, playoff version of Production Tracker! All of the data in this column will be from the fantasy regular season (Week 1-16) so we avoid outliers from teams’ resting players in Week 17. Also note that there won’t be any long-winded analysis here either with only e...
Wild-Card Round Stat-Pack
Wild-Card Round Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 11:02 PM EST
It’s a special playoff version of Stat Pack! I will go team-by-team and breakdown three (five!) key statistics with a forward-looking view. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Instead of writing the col...
Inside the Boxscore: Week 6
Inside the Boxscore: Week 6
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 10:49 PM EST
Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers Final Score: DEN - 13 | SD - 21 Targets/Carries/Red-Zone Info: Denver Broncos WR Demaryius Thomas had 10 targets and 5 receptions for 35 yards. He also had 1 deep ball. He had 3 red zone targets, including 2 goal line targets. Yds/Tgt: 3.5, Catch Rate: 50%. ...
Week 7 Production Tracker
Week 7 Production Tracker
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, January 10, 2017 10:48 PM EST
It is time to review Week 6’s defensive points allowed data. In addition to traditional points allowed metrics, this weekly piece features various data points by position. Not only do our readers get access to more data that allows for a full view of what defenses allow, the data is presented as a ...
Week 6 Snap Report
Week 6 Snap Report
PUBLISHED: Friday, October 21, 2016 09:03 AM EDT
Every week I’ll take a look deep inside the snap report to find some interesting statistical information that could shed some light on how certain players are performing. I’ll try to identify the most efficient and least efficient players in the league from a fantasy perspective and use the data to ...
Week 7 Kicker Recommendations
Week 7 Kicker Recommendations
PUBLISHED: Friday, October 21, 2016 08:59 AM EDT
Kickers averaged 8.1 FP, sa little over their season average of 7.9. The system had a relatively poor week. "Starts" did pretty well, averaging 8.2 FP and posting a good winning percentage. But "Sits" confounded the system, outscoring the "Marginal Starts" and reversing my target W-L. "Neutrals" wer...
Week 7 Stat-Pack
Week 7 Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Friday, October 21, 2016 08:37 AM EDT
In the weekly “Stat Pack”, I will go team-by-team and breakdown three key statistics that helps explain the week that was. The attempt here isn’t so much to provide atypical game recaps, but instead to provide rich context about the games that may not be obvious. Here is the Week 6 Stat Pack. Enjoy...

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