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Articles: Stat Info & Analysis

2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
2016's 300/100-Yard Bonus Analysis
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 27, 2017 11:29 AM EDT
Even if your league doesn't award bonuses for the 300-yard or 100-yard thresholds, the following article, which breaks down all the key skill players and accounts for how often they hit these marks in 2016, is a valuable one. It doesn't merely speak to a player's talent and ability to put up big yar...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop: 2017 Predictions
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 24, 2017 10:45 AM EDT
Previously, I wrote about the chances of a running back bouncing back from a workload drop to have a productive fantasy year. I want to use that study to analyze those RBs who saw a big usage decline in 2016 and their prospects in 2017. But first, one thing I didn't cover in the initial article was ...
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
Yards Created: Fournette's 2015 and 2016
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 01:35 PM EDT
A lot can happen in a year. That's especially true in football. Injuries, scheme/personnel changes, and general talent degradation all work in ways to change year-over-year player performance. After struggling through an ankle injury for all of 2016, Leonard Fournette missed six games and averaged 2...
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
Bouncing Back from a Workload Drop
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 20, 2017 11:21 AM EDT
In 2014, Adrian Peterson had 23 touches (carries and catches) after handling the ball 308 times the year before. He came back in 2015 to rank 2nd in points per reception formats. In 2014-2015, DeMarco Murray went from 449 touches to 237. He ended 2016 as the #6 RB for fantasy. These two RBs went fro...
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
Quarterback Career Years in 2017?
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 16, 2017 11:44 AM EDT
Last week I wrote about the Top 12 QBs in 2016 and whether or not they'd just had their career year. I also published three tables comparing the historical performance of QBs coming off career years in the following season compared to similar QBs (in age, fantasy rank, and rushing performance) did a...
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
Yards Created: Leonard Fournette
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, March 15, 2017 07:04 PM EDT
After a long NFL regular season, it is officially time to switch gears and focus on the upcoming NFL Draft. With the offseason on the horizon, I am embarking on a lengthy, fun, and significant process called Yards Created. If you’re new or need a refresher on what Yards Created is all about, I’d hi...
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
Terrelle Pryor's Floor & Ceiling in Washington
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 09:20 PM EDT
As far as historical standards go, Terrelle Pryor is a complete outlier. At 27-years-old, Pryor played his first full pro season as a wide receiver after playing quarterback for his entire career. It's safe to say it worked out. Pryor posted a 77/1007/4 season essentially as a 27-year-old rookie wid...
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
Brandin Cooks' Arrival/Departure Impact
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 13, 2017 01:32 PM EDT
At this point, words truly don't do Bill Belichick's mastery and aggressiveness as general manager justice. Just six weeks removed from winning the Super Bowl in an epic comeback fashion, Belichick elected to pull a blockbuster trade that wasn't entirely unexpected, but still impressive. After a few...
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
Martellus Bennett Makes Perfect Sense with the Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, March 11, 2017 10:18 PM EST
After becoming an unsung hero in the Packers' 2016 playoff run, it was certainly a little bizarre that Green Bay was not keen on bringing Jared Cook back in 2017. It all makes sense now. Packers' GM Ted Thompson rose from his annual free agency slumber and inked veteran Martellus Bennett to a deal w...
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
Alshon Jeffery and the Rebuilt Eagle Offense
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 10, 2017 08:48 PM EST
In 2016, the Eagles' fielded one of the most haphazard and misguided receiving corps in the entire NFL. That will change in 2017. On the "opening" day of free agency, the Eagles signed two new wideouts to the team: Alshon Jeffery (one-year, $14M deal) and Torrey Smith (three-year deal, worth up to $...
DeSean Jackson and Buccaneer Targets
DeSean Jackson and Buccaneer Targets
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 10, 2017 08:46 PM EST
Of all the moves to take place during this year's free agency period, no move better encapsulates a team knowing what they need than DeSean Jackson moving to Tampa Bay. As one of the most aggressive passers in the league, Jameis Winston will absolutely love throwing to Jackson. Per NFL Fantasy's Mat...
Which QBs Had Career Years in 2016?
Which QBs Had Career Years in 2016?
PUBLISHED: Thursday, March 9, 2017 11:04 AM EST
That's usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It's generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They're almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
Brandon Marshall to NYG Analysis
Brandon Marshall to NYG Analysis
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, March 8, 2017 11:31 AM EST
At nearly 33-years-old and coming off a low-flying year with the Jets, Brandon Marshall did not want to leave the Big Apple. He's getting his wish. The Giants' inked the veteran to a two-year, $12M dollar deal per various media reports. From a scheme standpoint, this is a really strong fit. New York...
Yards Created: Dalvin Cook
Yards Created: Dalvin Cook
PUBLISHED: Monday, March 6, 2017 02:29 PM EST
Ideally, the NFL Combine should answer questions--not create them. At running back specifically, we should make special note of weight-adjusted 40-yard dash times and the three-cone agility drill. As you would expect, being fast and relatively agile is important for NFL success. That's not necessari...
Identifying a Quarterback's Career Year
Identifying a Quarterback's Career Year
PUBLISHED: Friday, March 3, 2017 01:08 PM EST
That's usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It's generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They're almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
Yards Created: Kareem Hunt
Yards Created: Kareem Hunt
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 28, 2017 03:13 PM EST
No matter the competition level, dominant players always turn heads. Kareem Hunt is no different. After missing two games due to a suspension and pulling a hamstring that strained his abilities in 2015, Hunt elected to return to college for one more year in 2016. It paid off. Hunt ripped the Mid-Ame...
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
Julius Thomas to Miami Breakdown
PUBLISHED: Tuesday, February 21, 2017 11:06 AM EST
After two injury laden and disappointing years in Jacksonville with the always-enigmatic Blake Bortles, Julius Thomas is headed down Florida’s coast to South Beach. Per various media reports, Jacksonville traded Thomas for Miami’s 2017 seventh round pick. Oddly, after rumors swirled the two teams w...
Quarterback Career Length
Quarterback Career Length
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 16, 2017 01:18 PM EST
Every so often, when working on a study, some other topic piques my interest. While working on QB Career Years, I got to wondering how long the careers of running QBs are vs. traditional dropback quarterbacks. So this is a quick look at that question. The first thing is to define terms and scope th...
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
Yards Created: Christian McCaffrey
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 15, 2017 09:41 AM EST
If you’re like me, you played a ton of video games all throughout your childhood. Sounds fun, right? I’m not a total dork—I promise. Seriously though, some of my best memories as a kid involve a game called Backyard Football on those old, clunky PC’s where the hard drive tower alone weighed in exce...
QB Production After Career Years
QB Production After Career Years
PUBLISHED: Friday, February 10, 2017 11:50 AM EST
That’s usually why I avoid QBs coming off career years. It’s generally counter-intuitive to believe a player coming off a career year will be undesirable, like Gary Barnidge this year. But career years are called such for a reason: They’re almost never duplicated. These are cases of something unusua...
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted WR Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 9, 2017 02:30 PM EST
So far this offseason, I've reviewed QB and RB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s WR fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). WR Scoring used: Rushing...
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
Super Bowl Stat-Pack
PUBLISHED: Saturday, February 4, 2017 09:40 PM EST
It’s a Super Bowl Special Edition Stat-Pack! With just 2 teams to examine, I’ll focus on both sides of the ball for each team.   Game note: At 59 points, Falcons-Patriots is the largest over/under for the Super Bowl ever, eclipsing Colts-Saints in 2009 (56.5). Falcons Offense Since ATL lost to K...
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted RB Scores
PUBLISHED: Thursday, February 2, 2017 12:54 PM EST
Last week, I reviewed QB fantasy performance in 2016 after adjusting for their strength of schedule (SoS) in standard formats. In this article, I’m going to apply the same method to last year’s RB fantasy scoring (in point-per-reception (PPR) formats). RB Scoring used: Rushing/Receiving TD = 6 Fant...
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
Trends in Fantasy RB Scoring Thru 2016
PUBLISHED: Wednesday, February 1, 2017 01:48 PM EST
In working on my article on 2016 Strength of Schedule Adjusted RB Scores, I noticed something that took me back to a short piece I wrote in June last year. I'm going to update that article, which I've quoted in its entirety (in italics) below, and add a couple of more charts. We all know last year ...
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
2016 SOS Adjusted QB Scores
PUBLISHED: Friday, January 27, 2017 10:19 AM EST
Every year, after the season ends, I look back at player performance (in fantasy points (FP)) adjusted by factoring in their strength of schedule (SoS). I want to strip out the effects of difficult or easy schedules in order to better predict player performance next season. I look at all the offensi...

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