Injuries and six teams being off never make things easy, but hopefully I can help you navigate your way through all thirteen of the Week Six games.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
If Cam Newton can do what he did last week, I’ll have no worries about him the rest of the way. He doesn’t need to throw for a lot of yards as long as he continues to be active near the goal line, and that appears to be exactly what will happen. If you own DeAngelo Williams or Jonathan Stewart, they are probably good flex plays this week, but since they are splitting touches and will probably need a longer TD to score, you have to readjust any expectations going forward. Matt Ryan continues to hold back this offense and while they should still do well this week, they won’t reach their full potential or at least achieve what they want with him throwing ducks downfield. Michael Turner should be a nice play in this game only because he’ll get enough volume to produce, but if they fall behind, he’s never going to produce like a #2 RB.
Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals
Cedric Benson still doesn’t seem that happy with [...]
We enter the first week of byes with six teams off, which certainly makes lineup decisions tougher. It is time to take a look at the 13 games in Week Five.
Philadelphia Eagles at Buffalo Bills
I’m sure not many people expected this game to mean much before the season started, and even less expected the Bills to be at 3-1 and the Eagles to be sitting at 1-3. There’s nothing to worry about when it comes to the Eagle offense, as the Bills don’t pose much of a threat with their defense, even with CB Terrence McGee returning. The big issue for the Eagles is how their defense will handle this Buffalo offense. For whatever reason, Philly tried to use Nnamdi Asomugha in a variety of different ways, and it’s failed miserably. They need to let him get back to just being one of the best cover corners in the league. If they do, Stevie Johnson could be in trouble. Luckily for the Bills they have other weapons, like Fred Jackson, who should have a very good game against an Eagle defense that continues to look awful in their attempts to stop the run.
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
Apparently, Cam [...]
Week Three is upon us in the National Football League, and unfortunately, so are a ton of injuries. I will not pretend to know why these have all popped up quickly, even if it is easy to blame the lockout and lack of formal workouts. What I do know is we have sixteen games to look at, so let’s get to it.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Just as you would have expected coming into the season, these undefeated teams will battle for the top spot in the AFC East! Ok, maybe this is a little surprising. Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Buffalo offense have been very entertaining to watch, and things may only get better with RB C.J. Spiller expected to see time at receiver. My guy, Fred Jackson has proven once again to be one of the most reliable players in the league and it’s better suited to carry the load than Spiller is, but Spiller dynamic ability needs to be used and the Bills need all the firepower they can get going up against the Patriots. Tom Brady continues to dominate, but will be without what could be his most dangerous weapon in TE Aaron Hernandez. That could open [...]
With the lockout in our rearview mirror, we are just one day away from a full slate of real NFL action. Just like last season, I will share my general thoughts on each game on either Friday or Saturday. Here we go…
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
This might be a fun rivalry to watch, but it’s typically ugly for fantasy purposes. I wouldn’t be too excited about playing Ray Rice or Rashard Mendenhall in this one after they combined for 176/2 on 61 carries in the two meetings between the teams last year. It’ll be tough to sit either guy, but if you do play them, make sure to lower expectations. Joe Flacco might have a rough go of it playing behind a rebuilt OL that sees Bryant McKinnie taking over at LT and C Matt Birk coming back from a knee injury. As I’ve been warning everyone this week, expectations need to be managed if you have anyone playing in this game since these tend to turn into slugfests.
Atlanta Falcons at Chicago Bears
Roy Williams should not be a starting WR over Johnny Knox. Everyone seems to know that except the Bears, but Mike Martz is apparently an offensive genius and [...]
We are back for the Divisional Round matchups after going 2-2 in my picks last week. Interestingly enough, I correctly predicted the two toss-up games (Ravens, Packers), while missing on the games I felt comfortable about (Saints, Colts). We have four rematches this week, and I am intrigued to see what kind of adjustments will be made.
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Not a whole lot needs to be said about this matchup since we’ve seen these teams play each other so often in recent years. Both teams can run the ball well when they choose to, but the Steelers tend to rely on throwing it more because they believe Ben Roethlisberger is their best player. That should continue in this game because of Baltimore’s exploitable secondary. The Chiefs didn’t do much against them last week, but as we know, Dwayne Bowe is their only legit receiver. Pittsburgh goes three deep at WR with Hines Ward, Emmanuel Sanders, and Mike Wallace, who is the only player I feel somewhat confident about from a fantasy perspective in this matchup. We know about the Steeler OL issues, but Baltimore’s OL also has had trouble in pass protection meaning both QBs could be under [...]
We have made it to the playoffs, and outside of the Patriots, there does not appear to be a clear-cut favorite, which should make for some great games. Things get started with the Wild Card Round on Saturday and I wanted to share my thoughts on those matchups.
New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks
Even with Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory on the shelf, you have to like the Saints this one pretty easily. New Orleans will take and complete the shots downfield that the Rams couldn’t last week. Drew Brees should be able to pick apart the Seattle secondary with ease, especially since he receiving corps hold significant advantages in the size and athleticism department. Now, the Qwest Field advantage could come into play if the Seahawks are able to put some points on the board early, but if they fall behind, forget about it. The Saints shouldn’t have a problem this week, but you have to wonder if they can go much further without a consistent running game unless you believe in Julius Jones. I sure don’t.
Prediction: Saints 30 Seahawks 14
New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts
The rematch of the last season’s AFC Championship is a bit more even considering the [...]
If you are playing your championship this week, I would have to call you crazy. However, I am still here to help you get through these crazy times. Without further ado, it is time to look at the final regular season games.
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons
The loss to the Saints on Monday Night Football means this game actually means something to the Falcons and that’s good news for any one who owns their big-name players. Michael Turner had a big game the last time these two teams played and I’d expect more of the same in this one. Matt Ryan is worthy of a starting spot in your lineup, but I wouldn’t let your expectations get too high since I don’t think he’ll have to do too much in this one. As usual, Jonathan Stewart is the only one worth even considering for the Panthers, who might cut their entire offense as soon as this game is over.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
The Patriots will apparently start their usual guys, but the question is more about how much they’ll play. I’d steer clear of their RBs since they have about 293 they could use and I’d be fine with [...]
Happy Holidays to all! Hopefully you have made it to your championship game and are looking for some last minute tips and thoughts to help you make those tough decisions. The blog will be a little condensed today since I still have a little shopping to get to, but I am going to stop wasting time and get to the games.
Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals
If you trusted Tim Hightower last week, you probably never will again. As I’ve said, Larry Fitzgerald will be fine because he’s the only player John Skelton should be targeting on a regular basis, especially against this shaky Cowboy secondary. Dallas’ offense has been running very efficiently and that’s because Jon Kitna does exactly what he’s asked and doesn’t make mistakes. He’s pretty much the anti-Tony Romo. The one issue I have with Dallas is the insistence in getting Marion Barber back in the mix. I know Jason Garrett said he will use all three backs, but we’ve seen how well this team has run the ball with Felix Jones and Tashard Choice, so why mess with a good thing?
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
New England’s defense got a lot of well-deserved praise, but as [...]
Congrats to those of you still alive and congrats to those of you who started Vincent Jackson and/or Philip Rivers against the bad 49er secondary. A good start helps, but we still have 15 more games to go and plenty of tough decisions to make.
Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
I’m no Donovan McNabb fan, but Rex Grossman is not the answer. My crazy theory is that Mike Shanahan realized he made a giant mistake taking this job and is now openly trying to get fired. The move pretty much takes any Redskin off the table for fantasy purposes outside of Chris Cooley and maybe Ryan Torain. I’d be thrilled to have Miles Austin in my lineup going against that very beatable Redskin secondary and could live with Jon Kitna as my QB this weekend. The Cowboy defense should be a nice reach play as well.
New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens
To borrow a phrase from Greg Cosell, “This is an intriguing matchup.” Baltimore’s offense is about as Jekyll-and-Hydish as it gets with last week’s game against the Texans being a perfect example. In the 1st half, they took advantage of all the mistakes Houston made, but in the 2nd half, [...]
Peyton Manning quieted the critics with his superb performance against the Titans on Thursday night, but we still have fifteen more games to go this week and we will look at those right now.
Cleveland Browns at Buffalo Bills
So Peyton Hillis finally had a disappointing performance against the Dolphins, but I full expect him to bounce back against the worst run defense in the league this week. I have trouble trusting Jake Delhomme, but with a very short list of reliable TEs, Ben Watson is a guy I’d have no problem rolling with this week, especially since he’s a favorite red-zone target of Delhomme. No one on the Bills performed well against the Vikings, and I’d be a little worried about Ryan Fitzpatrick going against this Buffalo defense, which gave Chad Henne some problems, although Steve Johnson should be able to make some plays against this improved, yet still beatable Cleveland secondary.
Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers
Although the Falcons are sitting with the league’s best record at 10-2, I’m not ready to throw a ton of praise at Matt Ryan just yet. While he’s played more consistently this season, he’s still a bit too uneven for me and it’s not like [...]