Handcuffed: Is Ben Tate’s ADP straitjacketing Arian Foster owners?

It is getting to be the time of year when I am not only building my general draft strategy, but I am also starting to break down what I plan to do into specifics. I have my studs, sleepers, targets, and values highlighted. I have my duds and overvalues blacklisted. But most notably, and perhaps obviously, my analysis of these specifics starts with a single question:

“If I have the #1 pick in fantasy football this season, what am I going to do with it?”

Here’s the easy answer: I’m going to draft Arian Foster. I will take Foster and his 23.3 FPG in a PPR (1st among RBs), plus his 1841 yards from scrimmage and 12 TDs in 13 games. I will beam when he sucks up touch after touch down the stretch of a close game when both the Texans and my fantasy team need those yards and points.

But is the answer really that simple? Unfortunately, it’s not. It’s a discussion I started on my Twitter account (@FG_Dolan) about a week ago, and my interest in the topic was rekindled on our subscriber message boards this morning.

To put it frankly, it’s wise to be a little bit concerned about Foster’s [...]

Poll Review: Who should be the #1 overall pick?

As we continue our series of analyzing poll results, we asked our subscribers perhaps the most pertinent question left for the fantasy football season: who is the #1 pick? We have exactly one week until the season kicks off, and there is still no clear-cut answer:

Among the five options, we had a convincing winner, but not a majority winner (think the United States Presidential Election of 1992!). It appears that Guru subscribers just feel best about Adrian Peterson at this point, and it’s hard to argue with them. Peterson had a thigh injury that limited him to 15 games last year, but he was still incredibly productive. Peterson had over 1600 yards from scrimmage and 13 total TDs, even behind an atrocious Minnesota offensive line with an ineffective and injured Brett Favre playing QB (later Tarvaris Jackson and Joe Webb). At the very least, the addition of QB Donovan McNabb will provide a stabilizing element to the Viking backfield. Peterson has asked Viking coaches for even more touches – it’s the last year of his contract, and perhaps he wants to prove his importance to the franchise, if they don’t know already. But he won this poll because he might [...]

Equal Upside and the Quandary of the #1 Pick

I will be honest: the lockout jaded me. I was never particularly concerned about losing the 2011 season, or even a few games, but I did not go actively searching for mock drafts to whet my appetite for fantasy. What was the point? Everything would change anyway. Instead, I focused my attention on everything that’s gone up on this site over the last few weeks, namely the player profiles, and several things that have yet to come.

But – and I knew this would happen – draft season has descended upon us quickly. I like to draft as late as possible every year, but I’m sure I’ll be doing at least one draft within the next week. We don’t even have time to digest free agency before we have to assign values to the players that moved on. Hell, soon after I started throwing this post together, the Lions signed Jerome Harrison and Mike Bell to replace the injured Mikel Leshoure. No sooner did we bump up Jahvid Best’s value than we had to speculate on what the arrival of Harrison, in particular, means.

Of course, the mid rounds always have uncertainty. Even in a normal, non-lockout year, we’re either going to [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 7/21/11

We are in the home stretch in labor negotiations, but of course, this will not be a simple process. The owners are meeting in Atlanta Thursday, and hopefully, the 2011 NFL lockout is in its final moments despite any last-minute issues.

Labor meetings bring confusion … In a perfect world, we’d have a new CBA by the end of today and everyone would be happy. The players would have all voted “yes” yesterday in Washington, and the owners would all vote “yes” in Atlanta today. But if we’ve learned anything over the last four months of lockout living, it’s that nothing is ever easy when it comes to labor disputes. The players’ meetings in Washington were filled with confusion yesterday, delivering us conflicting reports and uncertainty as to how things would play out. Still, the owners expect to vote today, and we should have a settlement and new CBA in the near future. Let’s try to recap what is happening through the words of those covering the situation (keep in mind that the situation is developing by the minute):

Mark Maske of the Washington Post reports that players representatives gave conditional approval Wednesday to finish a settlement pending the resolution of a [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 2/22/11

Labor talks continue, the NFL Scouting Combine starts on Wednesday, and some interesting player movement is taking place and we are covering it all in the latest edition of the Fantasy Guru Daily.

McGahee has become expendable now that Ray Rice has emerged as one of the best backs in football.

Ravens expected to cut Willis McGahee … after the back had spent the last four seasons in Baltimore. With McGahee playing a smaller role compared to starter RB Ray Rice, it really doesn’t make much sense to keep the eight-year veteran around when he’s due to make $6 million in 2011. McGahee, 29, played in 15 games last season, rushing just 100 times for 380 yards and 5 TDs. His last 1000-yard season (1207 in 2007) came a year before the Ravens drafted Rice and McGahee hasn’t topped 170 carries since Rice joined the team. We expect McGahee to look for a team that will give him a more even split in carries since he still has something left in the tank.

St. Louis trying to re-sign Mark Clayton … and will continue to do so even a new deal can’t be worked out before the CBA expires. The Ravens [...]

Sirius Business: 49ers, Ravens Tidbits

Hey everyone. Matt Camp and I had a pair of interesting guests stop by on Sirius XM Fantasy Football (Sirius 211, XM 147) this weekend, and we were able to talk 49ers and Ravens. Here are some of the more interesting tidbits:

Matt Barrows covers the 49ers for the Sacramento Bee (@mattbarrows on Twitter):

The 49ers are indeed trusting their 2010 season to Alex Smith at the QB position, and they really aren’t worried about it. They understand Smith’s limitations, but so does Smith, and having a second year in Jimmy Raye’s offense might work wonders for Smith, who has never had the same offensive coordinator in consecutive seasons in his entire NFL career. Barrows argues that the 49ers’ “weaponry” is the best its been since Jerry Rice and Terrell Owens were the starting receivers, even though the Niners plan to run a conservative approach offensively. Coach Mike Singletary wants to play like he did during his playing days in Chicago: defense and running the football. The 49ers have the personnel to do that.

RB Frank Gore could be a big get in the 1st round this year.

That conservative approach will focus on Frank Gore, who is undoubtedly the main ball carrier, [...]

About Matthew Camp

Matthew Camp

Camp has been a fantasy football player since 1997, when he remembers using the box scores from the New York Daily News.

About Matthew Camp

About Joseph Dolan

Joe Dolan

Joe is a son of the video-game age - his extensive knowledge of NFL rosters dates back to the early 1990s.


About Joseph Dolan

About Tom Brolley

Tom Brolley

Brolley was blessed with the mobility of Peyton Manning, but lacked his encyclopedic football knowledge and rocket arm.

About Tom Brolley

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