Equal Upside and the Quandary of the #1 Pick

I will be honest: the lockout jaded me. I was never particularly concerned about losing the 2011 season, or even a few games, but I did not go actively searching for mock drafts to whet my appetite for fantasy. What was the point? Everything would change anyway. Instead, I focused my attention on everything that’s gone up on this site over the last few weeks, namely the player profiles, and several things that have yet to come.

But – and I knew this would happen – draft season has descended upon us quickly. I like to draft as late as possible every year, but I’m sure I’ll be doing at least one draft within the next week. We don’t even have time to digest free agency before we have to assign values to the players that moved on. Hell, soon after I started throwing this post together, the Lions signed Jerome Harrison and Mike Bell to replace the injured Mikel Leshoure. No sooner did we bump up Jahvid Best’s value than we had to speculate on what the arrival of Harrison, in particular, means.

Of course, the mid rounds always have uncertainty. Even in a normal, non-lockout year, we’re either going to [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 7/22/11

If you were lucky enough to avoid what happened in the labor fiasco on Thursday, congratulations. Yesterday was essentially a microcosm of the hideous standoff that has plagued us, and all NFL fans, since March. But when the dust settles from it, are we actually closer than ever before to labor peace? Will the locked doors of the NFL finally open this weekend? It is possible.

Owners send ratified proposal to players, but… At about 7 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday, the whooping and hollering could be heard from a meeting room in the Westin Atlanta. The NFL owners had passed a new CBA, 31-0 (with Al Davis abstaining, of course), paving the way for the four-month-old lockout to end. NFL commissioner Roger Goodell held a press conference celebrating the new “agreement,” and all of us on the periphery were left to believe the NFL players’ approval to be a fait accompli. The lockout was over! Only one problem: the players insist there was no agreement, and were taken by surprise by the fact that they were expected to vote on a proposal they hadn’t seen. And an 8 p.m. conference call with NFLPA director DeMaurice Smith and the 32 NFL [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 7/20/11

While the focus this week has been all about a possible end to the labor madness, the bigger story, at least when it comes to fantasy football, centers around the availability of one of the best quarterbacks to ever play the game…

Looks like Colt fans will be seeing a lot of Curtis Painter in the preseason. Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

Peyton won’t be ready for the start of camp … as he continues to recover from May neck surgery. The Colts are scheduled to open training camp on July 31, but it’s unknown when Manning will be able to participate, which puts a huge cloud of doubt over his status for the season, especially as a top fantasy QB. Manning had surgery on his neck back in March 2010, which didn’t cause him to miss any time, but the problems kept coming back during the season due to a calcium buildup. He attempted to avoid surgery by looking into other options after the Super Bowl, but this discomfort lingered and doctors insisted surgery was the only way to go. When the surgery was initially reported, Colt owner Jim Irsay didn’t seem alarmed, noting that the recovery was expected to be six to [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 6/21/11

With the owners and team representatives meeting in Chicago for updates on the labor negotiations, we inch closer to training camp and news starts to pick up. Without OTAs and mini-camps, some of the good nuggets we are used to getting just aren’t there, so when coaches or players speak on workouts or plans for the season, we’re listening with great interest.

The QB competition might be open in Denver, but we know who has the best NECKBEARD.

Fox says Bronco QB competition will be wide-open … between Kyle Orton, Tim Tebow, and yes, even Brady Quinn. Fox, who was hired by the Broncos back in January just two weeks after completing his tenure in Carolina, has said all along that the starting job would be decided in a competition, which he believes is a healthy part of the game. Fox said the team has “multiple plans in place, just waiting for the race to start” in relation to roster moves and practice schedules. What Fox didn’t and couldn’t address, were the trade rumors surrounding Orton, who is apparently favored by Fox and executive VP John Elway, although that doesn’t mean the team is against trading him at the right price. [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 5/6/11

There has been no ruling yet on the NFL request for a stay of the injunction against the lockout. I am running out of ways to say that every day. Until there is one or the appeal is heard in early June, we’ll continue to have some minor stories on the Daily!

The Cardinal QB Situation

Normally, by this time of year, we’d have at least some guess at who will be starting Week One for all 32 teams. Obviously, the lockout has stripped us of that security this year for a good handful of teams. None of these teams are more puzzling than the Arizona Cardinals, who were brutal at the position last year and didn’t spend a draft pick on a QB this year. That’s led to all kinds of speculation, and at least four big names have been linked to the Cardinals over the past few weeks.

First, rumors started that the Cardinals had “an agreement” in place with free agent veteran Marc Bulger, one that would be consummated as soon as personnel moves are allowed. But that was reported before the draft, and would have suggested one of two things: either the Cardinals were going to draft a QB [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 5/4/11

Hurry up and wait! That is how we would describe the idea of an expedited hearing. While we are waiting, some news continues to trickle in pertaining to a possible major trade and players holding their own workouts at local high schools and colleges.

Motion for expedited appeal granted … by 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which set June 3 as the date for arguments to begin in St. Louis. The league requested the expedited appeal and the process of briefs begins with the league’s opening brief due on May 9. The players must respond on May 20 with the league responding to that on May 26. Although the hearing is still just under a month away, that is considered very quick in comparison to the usual process, which according to Clerk Michael Gans, wouldn’t take place until October or November. The ruling on the appeal, based on it being expedited, could come down in mid-June. The lockout remains on after the court granted an expedited stay last Friday, but that could be lifted (or remain) based on the court’s ruling of a full stay, which could come as early as Wednesday.

Trade expected to send Kolb to Arizona … according [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 4/15/11

Mediation resumed in Minnesota on Thursday, and for once, it appears as if both sides of the table plan on honoring the gag order put in place. So while it appears there is a long way to go toward a new deal, the two sides are at least talking (even if it was forced). Why do I feel as if I’ve written this intro too many times before?

NFL, NFLPA meet under auspices of Judge Boylan… Mediation between both sides of the Brady v. NFL lawsuit were forced to meet on Thursday at the order of Judge Susan Nelson, who is still waiting to issue her ruling on the NFLPA’s request for an injunction against the NFL lockout. This time, the mediation (including several NFL owners) took place in the court of Judge Arthur Boylan, who has extensive mediation experience and, unlike George Cohen, has the power to report any wrongdoing in the sessions directly to Judge Nelson. That will certainly keep either side – especially the owners, we think – from trying to be overtly unreasonable in the sessions. The good news is that we do know, simply because intrepid reporters waited outside Judge Boylan’s chambers in Minneapolis, that the [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 2/28/11

The moment of truth is upon us, as we are one day from the month of March and three days from the CBA expiring. While the combine continues in Indianapolis, the labor talks and other contract issues are the talk of the NFL right now.

Union plans to decertify … All season, we heard about individual teams voting to decertify in the event of a lockout, and now that’s about to become a reality. The NFL and the players are scheduled to return to mediation on Tuesday, but with a deal unexpected to get done by Thursday night’s deadline, we will likely see decertification happen by then. By decertifying, there is no union, and players can file injunctions in court to try to prevent the owners from locking them out. In turn, the NFL will fight decertification with the National Labor Relations Board. So, what does this all mean? As always, we recommend reading the decertification primer by the National Football Post’s Andrew Brandt, who has been on top of everything related to the CBA talks.

Rice will test market … Any hope the Vikings had of re-signing WR Sidney Rice before the CBA expires is gone, as agent Drew

The Vikings [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 2/8/11

With the 2010 season in the books, we now move on to what should be a very interesting off-season. Speculation on the labor deal, free agency, and further coaching changes are in full swing, so let us take a look at the latest news from around the league.

Royal clicked better with QB Kyle Orton in their second year together, but his role will probably never be as big as it was when Jay Cutler was under center.

Eddie Royal undergoes hip surgery … and could be out for up to six months. While he could return for OTAs in May (if they take place), the recovery may end up keeping him sidelined even longer. Despite the injury, Royal didn’t miss any games in 2010 and caught 59 balls for 627 yards and 3 TDs playing primarily out of the slot. Royal is entering his fourth season in the league and the final year of his rookie deal.

Darrelle Revis wants Chad Ochocinco … to join him as a member of the New York Jets. Revis said he’s been in Ochocinco’s ear during the last week and believes the veteran receiver could do well as a Jet. However, Ochocinco [...]

Fantasy Guru Daily: 2/7/11

Sooo, yeah. The Green Bay Packers are Super Bowl champions, and thus concludes the 2010 NFL season. Obviously, there will be tons of doom and gloom thrown about in the media over the looming labor situation, but we are confident that the differences will be settled soon enough for a complete 2011 NFL season. With a great Super Bowl taking all of the attention in the media, today’s Fantasy Guru Daily will be a series of Quick Hits from the Super Bowl and around the NFL.

Aaron Rodgers named Super Bowl MVP… And in doing so, can he finally put to rest the notion that “Super Bowl experience” is little more than talkshow fodder to fill up hours of programming? With the Packers’ win, Rodgers becomes the third QB in the last four years to win in his first Super Bowl appearance against a “proven Super Bowl winner,” joining Eli

Hey, is Rodgers a "PROVEN WINNER" yet? Who decides these things?

Manning over the Pats in Super Bowl XLII and Drew Brees’ triumph over Peyton and the Colts in Super Bowl XLIV.

Hines Ward to return in 2011… Ward had a great Super Bowl XLV, but he ain’t used to losing. So Ward, [...]

About Matthew Camp

Matthew Camp

Camp has been a fantasy football player since 1997, when he remembers using the box scores from the New York Daily News.

About Matthew Camp

About Joseph Dolan

Joe Dolan

Joe is a son of the video-game age - his extensive knowledge of NFL rosters dates back to the early 1990s.


About Joseph Dolan

About Tom Brolley

Tom Brolley

Brolley was blessed with the mobility of Peyton Manning, but lacked his encyclopedic football knowledge and rocket arm.

About Tom Brolley

RSS John Hansen

  • Week 8 story lines October 23, 2014
    Here are the story lines I’ll be following this week in the NFL for fantasy San Diego (5-2) at Denver (5-1) Can Branden Oliver run on a very tough run defense? Can Bronco killer Keenan Allen do anything special against likely top corner Aqib Talib? Can Ronnie Hillman keep it up and further distance himself from Montee Ball? Detroit (5-2) at Atlanta (2-5) Can […]
    John Hansen
  • Week 7 story lines October 17, 2014
    Here are all the story lines I’m following for fantasy in Week Seven.  N.Y. Jets (1-5) at New England (4-2)  Who will carry the load at RB for the Patriots? You’d have to think this week it will be Brandon Bolden, since James White is inactive and Jonas Gray was just signed off the practice squad today and is active. Can Bandon LaFell keep it up and emerge a […]
    John Hansen
  • Week 6 story lines October 9, 2014
    Here are the top stories I’ll be following this week in the NFL… Indianapolis (3-2) at Houston (3-2) Can the Colts maintain their high level of play with 2 starters on the OL out tonight? Can Trent Richardson bounce back from a poor game last week against a tough Raven defense? Can Dwayne Allen score yet again and remain a huge factor? He’s being moved all o […]
    John Hansen