If you follow along over at my Twitter account @FG_Dolan (shameless plug), you’ve probably noticed my undying love for Jordy Nelson, and the fact that I’d happily welcome him onto any of my fantasy teams this year.
First of all, he’s madly productive as is: he hauled in 85/1314/8 last year and averaged 16.5 FPG in a PPR league. That was good enough to rank him #13 among WRs who played at least seven games last year. By definition, he was a borderline #1 WR in a 12-team PPR league. A knee procedure last summer might have scared some people, but it helped make Nelson more explosive and turned him into a durable force in 2013, and an incredible fantasy value to boot.
Once again, Nelson proved to be among the NFL’s elite in both catch rate and yards per target: 67.5% catch rate and 10.43 yards per target in 2013, well above the 58.6%/7.80 league average at the WR position last year. This has become a trend for Nelson, who continually grabs a high percentage of his targets down the field, more than most of his peers grab in the intermediate area.
But there’s also one more thing that we have to remember [...]
Each year, we publish an article about Overvalues & Players to Avoid, but make a point to say that at the right value, anyone is worth drafting. While I agree with that philosophy for the most part, there is always a group of players I want nothing to do with due to injury history, continuing off-the-field issues, too much competition at the position, or a coach who doesn’t care about your fantasy team (looking at you, Mike Shanahan). With training camp underway and mock drafts happening much more often, I figured I’d share my 2012 list with you. You’ll probably have some disagreements, which is understandable since some of these are based on gut feeling. I asked some of you on Twitter about players on your list and will include them below.
There's too much going against Ahmad Bradshaw to draft him with confidence this year.
Ahmad Bradshaw – Bradshaw has been one of my favorite players to watch since making a name for himself as part of the Earth, Wind, and Fire backfield for the 2007 Giants. After Derrick Ward departed, Bradshaw got a much-deserved increased role in the offense. I’ve given him plenty of credit for being a [...]
There is no labor deal yet. We think there will be one soon. The two sides are meeting again today. Yesterday probably could have been better, but it could have been worse. That is all we will mention about this situation.
Randy Moss not happy with the way 2010 went down… WR Randy Moss’ agent, Joel Segal, was doing his job this week and is talking up his client, who had the worst year of his roller-coaster career in 2010. “He is determined, motivated and quite frankly has a huge chip on his shoulder,” Segal said. Of course, we’d think representatives from the Vikings and Titans would disagree from the start, as Moss made just a handful of catches after being traded to Minnesota early in the 2010 season. Segal, then, has his work cut out for him to secure Moss a job once the open market is, well… opened. In his 30s, Moss is probably going to want to play with a contender, but is any contender going to be willing to take the risk that he’s a total dud like last year? The Jets would seem like a solid fit if they don’t re-sign Braylon Edwards, and we figure [...]
When plotting out this upcoming week, I knew I would be writing the Guru Daily today. I vowed to stay away from the labor situation, because the media (including us) has overreacted to every up and down, thanks to a dearth of anything else to report on. But we start Monday with some optimism, including a potential calendar for the start of the 2011 league year.
Deal is potentially on the horizon… Yeah, we’ve been hearing this week is huge for a while so it shouldn’t come as a total surprise, but there is apparently real optimism around the NFL that a framework CBA could be in place and voted on by the time the owners meet in Atlanta on July 21, as reported by ESPN. What’s funny is that it appears the rookie wage scale, essentially a slotting system to prevent deals like JaMarcus Russell’s from ever happening again, has become the major point of contention between the two sides. In short, the owners want longer and cheaper deals for rookies, while the players are willing to go cheaper so long as the young players can get free agency a year sooner (four-year deals as opposed to five). On one [...]
As we wait for more positive news on the labor front, the weekend brought injury news for a couple of big-name players, including the possible end of a career.
Is T.O.'s career over? Next question.
The end of the T.O. era? … We already knew that we probably wouldn’t be seeing Terrell Owens in a Bengal jersey again in 2011, leaving us with another offseason of uncertainty for the 37-year-old WR. Well, now we don’t know if T.O. will even play again at all. ESPN reports that Owens tore his ACL and underwent knee surgery. This follows a previously undisclosed injury and a torn meniscus that cut his 2010 season short in Week Fourteen. ESPN’s report indicates that Owens won’t be ready to play until November at the earliest, meaning a team would have to take a chance on him late down the stretch. He showed he could still play last year despite losing a step, as he had a huge stretch toward the middle of the season and finished with 72/983/9. He’s played for four teams in seven years (three teams in the last three years) after spending his first eight seasons in San Francisco, and now he’ll need a [...]
We continue to hope lockout talks move in a positive direction after a day in court last Friday, but today we focus on more football, headlined by a prison release in New York and some clarity in the Jets’ backfield.
Burress to play left field, hit 7th … Former Giant WR Plaxico Burress was released from prison after nearly two years Monday morning, and since there’s nothing else to talk about, HE WAS WEARING A PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES HAT, WHICH MEANS HE’S GOING TO THE EAGLES. There has actually been speculation that the Eagles are a potential landing spot for Burress, and Michael Vick has voiced his support of that move recently, saying:
Is Andy Reid on the other end of the phone?
“I think certainly Plaxico is going to come out with a chip on his shoulder the same way I did, and he’ll go out and help this football team to whatever capacity he can. I think the guys would be willing to embrace him and bring him in. If that happens? Who knows? We talking about ‘what ifs’ now? It would certainly be a good thing.”
Our guy Adam Caplan wrote that he believes the Eagles will be interested in Burress, [...]
Stay Watch: 2011 continues as we wait to hear if the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals in St. Louis grants the NFL a stay, which would extend the lockout at least another month through the expedited hearing on June 3. For now, we bring you actual football news.
Bryant shows up … After Jerry Jones and Dez Bryant were unable to meet last Friday about Bryant’s recent off-the-field troubles, but Bryant was finally with his teammates Wednesday as the Cowboys conducted workouts. QB Tony Romo said Bryantmoved around well, which, if true, is a good sign for someone who had surgery to repair a fractured fibula five months ago. Bryant missed the first day of informal player-led workouts because of a family issue but said he plans to be there for the rest. Bryant is a big key to the Cowboy offense this season, as if he stays healthy and focused, he has the talent to become a big-time receiver and certainly showed flashes of that last year. Roy Williams clearly isn’t the player he once was, and there’s plenty of room for Bryant to emerge as a playmaker on the outside opposite Miles Austin.
Jerry Jones and Dez Bryant: One [...]
Hurry up and wait! That is how we would describe the idea of an expedited hearing. While we are waiting, some news continues to trickle in pertaining to a possible major trade and players holding their own workouts at local high schools and colleges.
Motion for expedited appeal granted … by 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, which set June 3 as the date for arguments to begin in St. Louis. The league requested the expedited appeal and the process of briefs begins with the league’s opening brief due on May 9. The players must respond on May 20 with the league responding to that on May 26. Although the hearing is still just under a month away, that is considered very quick in comparison to the usual process, which according to Clerk Michael Gans, wouldn’t take place until October or November. The ruling on the appeal, based on it being expedited, could come down in mid-June. The lockout remains on after the court granted an expedited stay last Friday, but that could be lifted (or remain) based on the court’s ruling of a full stay, which could come as early as Wednesday.
Trade expected to send Kolb to Arizona … according [...]
Today is one of those days that can occasionally be expected during a lockout. By that, I mean there is very little football news. Fortunately, when struggling to find news to post on the blog, we learned we can count on Buc CB Aqib Talib to mess up.
Felony warrant issued for Talib… Talib has been charged with aggravated assault with a deadly weapon as a result of a March 21 incident outside of a Dallas suburb. Police say Talib and his mother, Okolo, fired a gun at his sister’s boyfriend, then interfered with an emergency phone call from the same location. While we’re obviously in no position to judge Talib outside the
Mark Mangino coached Aqib Talib at Kansas. That is not Talib on the right.
court of law, he has been in trouble before and the Buccaneers have to seriously consider cutting ties with him. That’s easier said than done, however; Talib is certainly one of the top young CBs in the NFL, and it’s such a difficult position to get consistent play from. Because of the labor situation, the Bucs didn’t say much regarding the incident, other than that they were “deeply troubled.” But there’s no doubt the Bucs [...]
Could it be? Actual news about what happens on the field? YES! Okay, so it is just a couple of rules changes, but if it allows us to refrain from the legalese we will take it.
Josh Cribbs hates Ruxin, but not as much as he hates the new kickoff rules.
Owners vote to change kickoff, replay rules … at meetings that took place in New Orleans over the last few days. The competition committee has discussed proposals for changes in kickoffs recently, mostly as a way to make the game safer. The modified proposal, which was passed by the owners on a 26-6 vote, will move kickoff back to the 35-yard line after it had been at the 30 since the 1994 season. Kickoff returners from around the league expressed their displeasure with the new rule, which will almost definitely hurt what receiving teams will be able to do in terms of improving field position. Brown KR Josh Cribbs was on a media tour talking about the changes and was in complete disagreement with the new rule because it continues to make special teams a smaller part of the game, which can hurt teams like his Cleveland Browns, who depend [...]