If you follow along over at my Twitter account @FG_Dolan (shameless plug), you’ve probably noticed my undying love for Jordy Nelson, and the fact that I’d happily welcome him onto any of my fantasy teams this year.
First of all, he’s madly productive as is: he hauled in 85/1314/8 last year and averaged 16.5 FPG in a PPR league. That was good enough to rank him #13 among WRs who played at least seven games last year. By definition, he was a borderline #1 WR in a 12-team PPR league. A knee procedure last summer might have scared some people, but it helped make Nelson more explosive and turned him into a durable force in 2013, and an incredible fantasy value to boot.
Once again, Nelson proved to be among the NFL’s elite in both catch rate and yards per target: 67.5% catch rate and 10.43 yards per target in 2013, well above the 58.6%/7.80 league average at the WR position last year. This has become a trend for Nelson, who continually grabs a high percentage of his targets down the field, more than most of his peers grab in the intermediate area.
But there’s also one more thing that we have to remember [...]
It is getting to be the time of year when I am not only building my general draft strategy, but I am also starting to break down what I plan to do into specifics. I have my studs, sleepers, targets, and values highlighted. I have my duds and overvalues blacklisted. But most notably, and perhaps obviously, my analysis of these specifics starts with a single question:
“If I have the #1 pick in fantasy football this season, what am I going to do with it?”
Here’s the easy answer: I’m going to draft Arian Foster. I will take Foster and his 23.3 FPG in a PPR (1st among RBs), plus his 1841 yards from scrimmage and 12 TDs in 13 games. I will beam when he sucks up touch after touch down the stretch of a close game when both the Texans and my fantasy team need those yards and points.
But is the answer really that simple? Unfortunately, it’s not. It’s a discussion I started on my Twitter account (@FG_Dolan) about a week ago, and my interest in the topic was rekindled on our subscriber message boards this morning.
To put it frankly, it’s wise to be a little bit concerned about Foster’s [...]
Over the last four months, we have become junior experts on labor law, simply by having a horse in this NFL lockout race (that horse is called “actual football”). And if there is one certain thing we have learned about labor law, it’s that there are two stages of deals: “done” and “not done.” Despite growing optimism over the last few weeks, the NFL still resides in that latter category, and until all the major parties finally put their John Hancocks on a finished product, there’s still a chance things can go awry. But we’ve also learned that ebbs and flows happen: positives can happen on bad days and negatives can happen on good days. So despite what we would call a “bad day” in labor negotiations yesterday, some interesting stuff went down.
Crazy day in lockout talks… Yes, we felt it too. At about 6 p.m. Central (the talks are taking place in Minnesota), when the NFL and NFLPA had already been meeting for nine hours, reports started to leak to the media that the talks had suffered a major setback, concerning the owners asking [...]
You know, there comes a point during a lengthy lockout when we hope there is now news from the player front, because when there is, it is typically bad. And when we are posting about the same guy in two of our last three blogs, well… yeah.
Britt arrested. Again… According to several reports, Titan WR Kenny Britt was expected in Nashville this week to begin working out with his teammates. Instead, he’s gotten himself in trouble with the law. Britt was arrested on Wednesday, charged with two counts of resisting arrest, just one day after pleading guilty to a misdemeanor offense for eluding an officer stemming from an April incident. In this business, we don’t like to get too much into a player’s personal life, because when push comes to shove talent will ultimately win out. But Britt – who didn’t have a criminal record when 2011 began – now has had two incidents in two months, and you can be certain that commissioner Roger Goodell is keeping tabs. Goodell has explicitly stated that malfeasant behavior during the lockout will be punished once a deal is reached. Britt already had a tough time with injuries last year, and he’ll be [...]
He refuses to go away. With no actual football to distract us from meaningless off-the-field stories, he has managed to permeate the news cycle once again. On the suggestion of former Panther DT Brenston Buckner, he might be back… in an advisory role.
Favre could tutor Cam Newton, agent says… Hey, don’t blame us for bringing this up during the lockout! Ol’ Flip-Flop knows how to get his name out there, and his PR department deserves credit for finding yet another way for people to talk about him, even when he’s not playing. Observe:
Favre: Uhh… is this uhh Cam?
Newton: Why, yes it is. To whom am I speaking?
Favre: Uhh, Cam, this is uhh Brett Favre, former N.. uhh… lemme rephrase that… NFL quarterback.
Newton: Jolly good day, Mr. Favre. And to what extent are you requesting my correspondence?
Favre: Uhh, Cam, there is a uhhh lockout. Don’t know if you know that. That means you’re bein’ “locked out,” so to speak. Might prevent you from gettin’ “unlocked” in the near future. It’s tough, uhh, bein’ a rookie quarterback in the NFL. Especially if you don’t get to know your coaches. Don’t really get to know your teammates. Don’t really [...]
Sooo, yeah. The Green Bay Packers are Super Bowl champions, and thus concludes the 2010 NFL season. Obviously, there will be tons of doom and gloom thrown about in the media over the looming labor situation, but we are confident that the differences will be settled soon enough for a complete 2011 NFL season. With a great Super Bowl taking all of the attention in the media, today’s Fantasy Guru Daily will be a series of Quick Hits from the Super Bowl and around the NFL.
Aaron Rodgers named Super Bowl MVP… And in doing so, can he finally put to rest the notion that “Super Bowl experience” is little more than talkshow fodder to fill up hours of programming? With the Packers’ win, Rodgers becomes the third QB in the last four years to win in his first Super Bowl appearance against a “proven Super Bowl winner,” joining Eli
Hey, is Rodgers a "PROVEN WINNER" yet? Who decides these things?
Manning over the Pats in Super Bowl XLII and Drew Brees’ triumph over Peyton and the Colts in Super Bowl XLIV.
Hines Ward to return in 2011… Ward had a great Super Bowl XLV, but he ain’t used to losing. So Ward, [...]
We are rolling out a new feature here at FantasyGuru.com, bringing you all the news you need to know on a daily basis in the Fantasy Guru Daily. We will do so on our blog, so readers can chime in. 4-5 days a week, we’ll round up the most important nuggets of the day and provide some commentary, starting with some Super Bowl-heavy editions to take you up to the big game next week.
Kemoeatu declares Pouncey out … The shorthanded Steeler offensive line will be even more shorthanded in the Super Bowl, as rookie Pro Bowl C Maurkice Pouncey is unlikely to play against the Packers, at least according to G Chris Kemoeatu after practice Wednesday. Pouncey suffered a high ankle sprain in the 1st quarter of last Sunday’s AFC title game, and he was replaced by Doug Legursky, who has started four games at LG this season. The loss of Pouncey, the Steelers’
With C Maurkice Pouncey out, QB Ben Roethlisberger may be running all day from Packer NT B.J. Raji.
1st-round pick in 2010, is a big blow to an offensive line that’s been missing starting tackles Max Starks and Willie Colon. In the regular season, Pouncey and [...]