Handcuffed: Is Ben Tate’s ADP straitjacketing Arian Foster owners?

It is getting to be the time of year when I am not only building my general draft strategy, but I am also starting to break down what I plan to do into specifics. I have my studs, sleepers, targets, and values highlighted. I have my duds and overvalues blacklisted. But most notably, and perhaps obviously, my analysis of these specifics starts with a single question:

“If I have the #1 pick in fantasy football this season, what am I going to do with it?”

Here’s the easy answer: I’m going to draft Arian Foster. I will take Foster and his 23.3 FPG in a PPR (1st among RBs), plus his 1841 yards from scrimmage and 12 TDs in 13 games. I will beam when he sucks up touch after touch down the stretch of a close game when both the Texans and my fantasy team need those yards and points.

But is the answer really that simple? Unfortunately, it’s not. It’s a discussion I started on my Twitter account (@FG_Dolan) about a week ago, and my interest in the topic was rekindled on our subscriber message boards this morning.

To put it frankly, it’s wise to be a little bit concerned about Foster’s [...]

Equal Upside and the Quandary of the #1 Pick

I will be honest: the lockout jaded me. I was never particularly concerned about losing the 2011 season, or even a few games, but I did not go actively searching for mock drafts to whet my appetite for fantasy. What was the point? Everything would change anyway. Instead, I focused my attention on everything that’s gone up on this site over the last few weeks, namely the player profiles, and several things that have yet to come.

But – and I knew this would happen – draft season has descended upon us quickly. I like to draft as late as possible every year, but I’m sure I’ll be doing at least one draft within the next week. We don’t even have time to digest free agency before we have to assign values to the players that moved on. Hell, soon after I started throwing this post together, the Lions signed Jerome Harrison and Mike Bell to replace the injured Mikel Leshoure. No sooner did we bump up Jahvid Best’s value than we had to speculate on what the arrival of Harrison, in particular, means.

Of course, the mid rounds always have uncertainty. Even in a normal, non-lockout year, we’re either going to [...]

About Matthew Camp

Matthew Camp

Camp has been a fantasy football player since 1997, when he remembers using the box scores from the New York Daily News.

About Matthew Camp

About Joseph Dolan

Joe Dolan

Joe is a son of the video-game age - his extensive knowledge of NFL rosters dates back to the early 1990s.


About Joseph Dolan

About Tom Brolley

Tom Brolley

Brolley was blessed with the mobility of Peyton Manning, but lacked his encyclopedic football knowledge and rocket arm.

About Tom Brolley

RSS John Hansen

  • Week 12 storylines November 20, 2014
    Here are the top storylines I’ll be following in Week 11. Kansas City (7-3) at Oakland (0-10) Do the Raiders give more opportunities to Latavius Murray? His snaps and touches are on the rise and that’s expected to continue. Does Mychal Rivera continue to step up and produce for fantasy owners? If so, he’ll likely settle in as a weekly starter if he hasn’t al […]
    John Hansen
  • Week 10 story lines November 7, 2014
    Here are the top stories that I will be following in Week 10. Tennessee (2-6) at Baltimore (5-4) How does the RB situation behind Justin Forsett shake out? There’s some value in the #2 spot, but it’s a revolving door with Bernard Pierce and Lorenzo Taliaferro. Does Owen Daniels continue to be a large factor? He should because he’s a huge part of this passing […]
    John Hansen
  • Week 9 story lines October 31, 2014
    Here are the top stories I will be following in Week Nine of the NFL. Jacksonville (1-7) at Cincinnati (4-2) Can Denard Robinson continue to produce behind a bad OL? He’s been basically getting to the perimeter and popping off some longer runs, but he’s also run pretty well inside. He moves very well. Can Allen Robinson continue to produce? He just missed a […]
    John Hansen