Fantasy Kickers and the New Extra-Point Rule

The long-rumored and predicted rule change in the NFL passed at the owners’ meetings this week – extra points are officially moving from the two-yard line to the 15, changing them from the near-automatic equivalent of a 19-yard field goal to a 33-yard kick. If a team wants to attempt a two-point conversion, the ball will remain on the 2. Essentially, this change is supposed to encourage teams to go for two more, and to make the one-point kick seem like less of a formality.

I have to imagine that both of these things will be accomplished. The NFL says that over the last 10 years, kickers have converted between 93% and 94% of field goals from the new distance, and during the preseason last year (when the rule was tested out), kickers converted on 94.3% of the longer extra points.

Reaction, as you might imagine, has been mixed. Many don’t feel it will be a big change at all, since it’s still a high-percentage kick that won’t be rushed by a ticking clock like a field goal would be, and NFL kickers are really good. Some kickers, as Connor Barth noted in the link above, welcome the change because they feel [...]

MFL10 Review: May 15, 2015

I recently finished up a #MFL10 draft that I put together with some of my followers on Twitter, a practice that Tom Brolley, Matt Camp, and I will be continuing throughout the summer with our friends at MyFantasyLeague. It’s a great way to scratch your fantasy itch early, and to shake off some rust and try new things. The people drafting in these leagues now are generally sharp fantasy addicts, so expect to be challenged, and at this stage of the game I tend to trust the MFL10 ADP data far more than anything else. Because they’re best ball leagues, you don’t have to worry about roster management and setting lineups. And heck, you can win $100, to boot.

Even though I do this for a living, at some point during the year, I’m going to have to do my first draft to shake off my own rust. So These MFL10s are a way for me to try out some strategies, see what I did right, and see what I did wrong. I took the experience I had from MFL10s last year and attempted to apply it to this draft, which I’ll briefly break down below.

The focus will obviously be on [...]

The LeSean McCoy Trade, RB Declines, and Chip Kelly

If you’re a 24/7/365 football nut, chances are you’ve already digested just about all you can about yesterday’s blockbuster LeSean McCoy/Kiko Alonso trade between the Eagles and Bills. I’ve gone on record on Twitter saying I don’t like the deal for Buffalo – McCoy is an eight-figure back coming off a down year, still a “star” in name but one in which I’d have been very concerned about investing a high fantasy pick even if he remained in Philadelphia.

Now, to be fair to McCoy, his disappointing season largely hinged on a slow start, coinciding exactly with a four-game suspension for athletic RT Lane Johnson. In the first four games of the season, McCoy went for 70/197/1 rushing (2.7 YPC), but over the final 12 games, he posted 243/1127/4 rushing (4.6 YPC), second in yards to only DeMarco Murray over the same span. This is the very solid line that Bills fans should be clinging to when hoping this trade works out.

All in all, McCoy finished with 313/1324/5 rushing. For the most part, if you told anyone investing a high pick in McCoy before the season that he’d play 16 games and carry 313 times, they’d have no problem making the [...]

USA Today Sports Weekly Mock Recap

On Tuesday, July 22, I participated in a 12-team, non-PPR mock draft with several industry leaders for USA Today Sports Weekly’s fantasy football special edition, which hits newsstands on August 4. I’ve been given permission to blog about the draft and my strategy, which is greatly appreciated, and I hope it sparks some discussion.

This was a non-PPR league with a relatively standard starting lineup – 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, W/R/T flex, K, D/ST. We were allowed to fill seven bench spots, as well.

I picked from the #9 spot, which I was excited to do because it’s a pretty interesting spot this year as most of the best RBs are off the board, and it could be an ideal spot for starting WR/WR or Graham/WR.

The draft grid is as follows (odd rounds read left to right, even rounds right to left. Click to enlarge):

Note that the empty 12th-round pick between Jordan Matthews and Carlos Hyde was meant to be Odell Beckham, and the empty 16th-round pick for Tuvey is meant to be Bryce Brown.

Here’s my team, and I’ll talk about my strategy afterward.

QB: Colin Kaepernick, Carson Palmer

RB: Le’Veon Bell, Ben Tate, Jeremy Hill, Chris Ivory, Carlos Hyde

WR: [...]

The Prince Connection: Rodgers and Nelson

If you follow along over at my Twitter account @FG_Dolan (shameless plug), you’ve probably noticed my undying love for Jordy Nelson, and the fact that I’d happily welcome him onto any of my fantasy teams this year.

First of all, he’s madly productive as is: he hauled in 85/1314/8 last year and averaged 16.5 FPG in a PPR league. That was good enough to rank him #13 among WRs who played at least seven games last year. By definition, he was a borderline #1 WR in a 12-team PPR league. A knee procedure last summer might have scared some people, but it helped make Nelson more explosive and turned him into a durable force in 2013, and an incredible fantasy value to boot.

Once again, Nelson proved to be among the NFL’s elite in both catch rate and yards per target: 67.5% catch rate and 10.43 yards per target in 2013, well above the 58.6%/7.80 league average at the WR position last year. This has become a trend for Nelson, who continually grabs a high percentage of his targets down the field, more than most of his peers grab in the intermediate area.

But there’s also one more thing that we have to remember [...]

Game Notes: Giants, Jets, Raiders, Eagles

This off-season, we spent some time watching each and every NFL team again, trying to pinpoint strengths and weaknesses with players we might have missed in the rush of the regular season. The intention was to feel more confident in our analysis for what turned out to be our biggest player profiles ever.We spent more time on some teams than on others, and even the teams we spent the most time on we were only able to watch a handful of games. But we thought it might be cool to publish a series of blogs detailing what we saw from the teams we watched with our raw notes.

These notes were never intended for publication, so forgive grammatical errors or the occasional poor language. Nor were they intended to be comprehensive, or definitive takes on fringe players (especially WRs, who are difficult to watch on TV angles). We simply thought it’d be a neat way to show a little extra insight into some of the players that we might not have felt like we had a great grip on this season. Each of the games that follows in this article is from Week Two.

New York Giants

Week 2 – Stl

Eli Manning
- 1st-quarter [...]

Game Notes: Dolphins, Vikings, Patriots, Saints

This off-season, we spent some time watching each and every NFL team again, trying to pinpoint strengths and weaknesses with players we might have missed in the rush of the regular season. The intention was to feel more confident in our analysis for what turned out to be our biggest player profiles ever.We spent more time on some teams than on others, and even the teams we spent the most time on we were only able to watch a handful of games. But we thought it might be cool to publish a series of blogs detailing what we saw from the teams we watched with our raw notes.

These notes were never intended for publication, so forgive grammatical errors or the occasional poor language. Nor were they intended to be comprehensive, or definitive takes on fringe players (especially WRs, who are difficult to watch on TV angles). We simply thought it’d be a neat way to show a little extra insight into some of the players that we might not have felt like we had a great grip on this season.

Miami Dolphins

Week 2 – Hou

Chad Henne
- Sack on first series no receivers open… Henne had no chance.
- Henne stood in there [...]

Game Notes: Texans, Colts, Jags, Chiefs

This off-season, we spent some time watching each and every NFL team again, trying to pinpoint strengths and weaknesses with players we might have missed in the rush of the regular season. The intention was to feel more confident in our analysis for what turned out to be our biggest player profiles ever.We spent more time on some teams than on others, and even the teams we spent the most time on we were only able to watch a handful of games. But we thought it might be cool to publish a series of blogs detailing what we saw from the teams we watched with our raw notes.

These notes were never intended for publication, so forgive grammatical errors or the occasional poor language. Nor were they intended to be comprehensive, or definitive takes on fringe players (especially WRs, who are difficult to watch on TV angles). We simply thought it’d be a neat way to show a little extra insight into some of the players that we might not have felt like we had a great grip on this season.

Houston Texans

Week 2 – @Mia

Matt Schaub
- Texans came out throwing.
- First drive stalled inside the 5 when Dolphins got pressure on [...]

Game Notes: Cowboys, Broncos, Lions, Packers

This off-season, we spent some time watching each and every NFL team again, trying to pinpoint strengths and weaknesses with players we might have missed in the rush of the regular season. The intention was to feel more confident in our analysis for what turned out to be our biggest player profiles ever.We spent more time on some teams than on others, and even the teams we spent the most time on we were only able to watch a handful of games. But we thought it might be cool to publish a series of blogs detailing what we saw from the teams we watched with our raw notes.

These notes were never intended for publication, so forgive grammatical errors or the occasional poor language. Nor were they intended to be comprehensive, or definitive takes on fringe players (especially WRs, who are difficult to watch on TV angles). We simply thought it’d be a neat way to show a little extra insight into some of the players that we might not have felt like we had a great grip on this season.

Dallas Cowboys

Week 2 – @SF

Tony Romo
- First play, slightly overthrew Austin on potential big play, but Austin slowed down and probably [...]

Game Notes: Panthers, Bears, Bengals, Browns

This off-season, we spent some time watching each and every NFL team again, trying to pinpoint strengths and weaknesses with players we might have missed in the rush of the regular season. The intention was to feel more confident in our analysis for what turned out to be our biggest player profiles ever.We spent more time on some teams than on others, and even the teams we spent the most time on we were only able to watch a handful of games. But we thought it might be cool to publish a series of blogs detailing what we saw from the teams we watched with our raw notes.

These notes were never intended for publication, so forgive grammatical errors or the occasional poor language. Nor were they intended to be comprehensive, or definitive takes on fringe players (especially WRs, who are difficult to watch on TV angles). We simply thought it’d be a neat way to show a little extra insight into some of the players that we might not have felt like we had a great grip on this season.

Carolina Panthers

Week 2 – GB

Cam Newton
- Panthers came out chucking the ball. Deep shots to Jeremy Shockey first two plays. They [...]

About Matthew Camp

Matthew Camp

Camp has been a fantasy football player since 1997, when he remembers using the box scores from the New York Daily News.

About Matthew Camp

About Joseph Dolan

Joe Dolan

Joe is a son of the video-game age - his extensive knowledge of NFL rosters dates back to the early 1990s.


About Joseph Dolan

About Tom Brolley

Tom Brolley

Brolley was blessed with the mobility of Peyton Manning, but lacked his encyclopedic football knowledge and rocket arm.

About Tom Brolley

RSS John Hansen

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  • First draft of the 2015 season April 14, 2015
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