Note: Players are in no particular order.
Quarterback
None that would qualify as reaches.
Running Back
Laurence Maroney vs. Tampa Bay – We know he’s not a good back, but the
Buccaneer run defense is almost non-competitive. If you were ever going to start
Maroney, this would be the matchup to do so as your #3 RB.
BenJarvus Green-Ellis vs. Tampa Bay – This game should be a blowout and
Green-Ellis could pile up the carries in the second half when the game is out of
reach. He’s a more decisive runner than Maroney, so start him as your #3 RB.
Jonathan Stewart vs. Buffalo – The Bills are very small in their front-seven and
the Panthers have one of the NFL’s biggest offensive lines. Stewart has been up
and down this season, but he should be way up in this game. Start him as your #3
RB as the coaches continue to call running plays so they can get it out of QB
Jake Delomme’s hands.
Mike Bell at Miami – The Dolphin run defense is solid, but look for the Saints
to get up big in this game, so Bell could be the back that finishes the game.
Look for him to score and to post at least 60 yards on the ground.
Donald [...]
Quarterback
David Garrard vs. St. Louis – He was bad last week, but he didn’t have his best passing target. Mike Sims-Walker is back, so Garrard should be able to put up good numbers against a suspect Ram secondary.
Jason Campbell vs. Kansas City – I know, Campbell has been bad. It doesn’t help that LT Chris Samuels is out, so there’s some downside risk. The upside is that the Chiefs have no pass rush and they’ve had coverage problems all season. I’m using Campbell this week for a bye week replacement and I’m expecting 220 yards or more and a TD in that role. That’s realistic production.
Running Back
Mike Bell vs. NY Giants – We’re told he’ll be getting goal-line carries from here on out, so Bell has a chance to score every game. While he’s not likely to post good yardage against a solid Giant run defense, he’s a decent bet to score. Not a bad #3 RB.
Tim Hightower at Seattle – He’s averaging about six catches/game, so Hightower is a rock solid #3 RB starter in PPR leagues every week. Against Seattle, he’ll get a decent amount of touches, so start him in that role.
Leon Washington vs. Buffalo – We [...]
Quarterback
David Garrard at Seattle – It’s getting to the point with him that we may not be calling him a reach much longer. Garrard is starting to look like one of the best values in fantasy football this season. He’ll face a struggling defense, and his much improved offensive line has been giving him a lot of time to throw the ball. Look for him to post at least two TDs and 225 yards in this matchup of two bad defenses.
Kerry Collins vs. Indianapolis – The formula has been the same every week. Their secondary causes Collins to throw the ball more than the coaches want, and he posts big passing numbers. Nothing looks to change against the high-powered Colt offense. Look for big numbers again from Collins.
Running Back
Chester Taylor at St. Louis – We see no way that the Rams will be able to hang in this game, so Taylor figures to have his chance to post good numbers later on. Look for him to post 50-70 yards and a score in this matchup.
Sammy Morris at Denver – With veteran RB Fred Taylor out, Morris’ role will increase. What we like about him is his versatility. He’ll [...]
Last week was strong as most of the listed reaches at RB and WR scored. Lets go
for it again in Week Four:
Quarterback
Jason Campbell vs. Tampa Bay – I had him here last week and he came
through so we’ll give it another try against a very bad defense that doesn’t
challenge any offense.
Eli Manning at Kansas City – The Giants face a defense which has no pass
rush. The only negative for Manning here is we wonder how much he’ll have to
throw, but when he does, he’ll have success. He’s worth a look if you’re hurting
because of byes.
Kerry Collins at Jacksonville – Have to think the Titan offensive line
has no trouble against the Jaguar front-four in this game. The Jaguars simply
have no pass rush, so Collins should be able to have success enough to be a
solid low-end starter for fantasy owners this week.
David Garrard vs. Tennessee – Titan starting CB Cortland Finnegan is not
expected to play and he’s the best player in their secondary. Garrard should
have decent success in this game in what could be a high-scoring game.
Running Back
Donald Brown vs. Seattle – Have to like this matchup against an injured
Seahawk D. Brown has been closing games and that should continue this [...]
Here’s a look at my week three reaches:
Quarterback
Joe Flacco vs. Cleveland – Of course check the latest hour-by-hour forecasts
right before this and other games start. If the weather holds up, Flacco should
do well since the Browns have a weak pass rush and the Raven OL is one of the
best in the NFL.
Byron Leftwich vs. NY Giants – The Giant secondary has major injury
issues with two starters, so Leftwich has a chance to continue his recent
success. The bottom line is for the Buccaneers to have a chance to win, they’ll
have to likely throw it at least 40 times.
Jason Campbell at Detroit – This is about as good of a matchup that
Campbell could get, so there won’t be any excuses if he doesn’t do well. Weather
won’t be a factor since the game is indoors. The Lion secondary is one of the
worst, so the opportunity is there for him to put up solid numbers.
Running Back
Fred Jackson vs. New Orleans – He went way late in drafts, but he’s not
sharing the ball at all with Marshawn Lynch still out. Jackson faces a beatable
Saint front seven and should get plenty of touches. He’s looking like a solid #2
RB this week. Even if [...]
It certainly will be a major challenge to be as accurate as last week, but there
are some matches that stand out:
Quarterback
Joe Flacco at San Diego – As we predicted, the Ravens would start
throwing more on first down and they did that quite a bit last week. OC Cam
Cameron has clearly decided to give Flacco the ball early and he’s coming
through. Look for him to exploit the shaky Charger secondary in what could be a
high-scoring game.
Kerry Collins vs. Houston – We know that they can just as easily run the
ball all game and win, but look for Collins to make some big plays in the first
three quarters when the game is relatively close. He shouldn’t have a problem
throwing for two TDs in this game.
Jason Campbell vs. St. Louis – He’s not exactly trustworthy, but the Ram
secondary is weak. The problem is their front-four can’t find any kind of
consistent pass rush. Look for 225 yards and 1-2 TDs from Campbell.
Kevin Kolb vs. New Orleans – He hasn’t looked good in relief appearances, but he’ll get a
chance to start in what should be a high-scoring game. He has plenty of talent around him,
so Kolb should be able to post good numbers [...]
I’ll post my random thoughts here on selected players by position:
Quarterback
Jake Delhomme – I was asked about this in Wednesday’s chat. Will he hurt Steve
Smith? The answer is yes, for now. Until Delhomme can find some consistency,
he’s going to hurt Smith’s productivity and upside. That’s not something that
can be argued at this point. Hoping for the best, but it way take some time. A.J.
Feeley can be good for 3-4 games, but asking him to start several games is a
problem.
Matt Ryan – Good sign when he doesn’t play well that he can still put up some
numbers. Again, as we correctly stated in our preseason analysis, how are
defenses going to stop them? You can only really take away one guy from their
offense each week.
Joe Flacco – I think they finally realized he has to get the ball early in the
game. Read Greg Cosell’s film room blog to get an idea of this. They finally are
letting Flacco throw on first downs. I think he’s at least a low-end #1 QB for
fantasy now. I had a long talk with him earlier this year about the coaches
being willing to give him the ball more to throw early in games. He really
wanted the chance to throw [...]
After last year’s success, I’m back with more for Week One:
Quarterback
Joe Flacco vs. Kansas City – While the Ravens will still be a power
running team on offense, we’re expecting them to throw more on early downs.
Against the Chiefs, Flacco should have no trouble against one of the league’s
worst defenses. Even though this game should be a blowout and he might not need
to throw much, he’ll have very good success when it puts the ball in the air.
Look for Flacco to be a nice low-end starter this week.
Matt Hasselbeck vs. St. Louis – I understand how shaky his offensive
line is, but the Ram secondary is average at best. When Hasselbeck throws the
ball, he’ll have success spreading the ball around to his open receivers. He’s
not a bad low-end starter this week.
Running Back
Mike Bell vs. Detroit – With the likelihood that he’ll handle most of
the carries in this game against what looks to be a bad Lion defense, Bell could
find success early and often. He could easily have 80-100 yards and 1-2 TDs–by
the start of the fourth quarter. So Bell is really looking like a nice #3 RB or
better for fantasy owners this week.
Willis McGahee vs. Kansas City – Yeah, we [...]
Each week, I’ll start with my thoughts of the week on various
issues/topics:
Sirius Fantasy Football/Radio Stuff
- We’re starting up again this Friday though the first week of the NFL playoffs.
The show is live 8-11 PM ET on channel 124, replay is 5-8 AM ET on Saturday.
- We know many of you have complained about the replay time (I’ve read the
emails and message board posts.) A few years back, the show was also replayed on
channel 123 I believe, but that’s now Mad Dog Radio. We’ll bring up
getting a replay on another channel and/or a better time to management, soon.
- Greg Cosell, from NFL Films, will be a weekly guest as he has
been for the past three years. This goes without saying for anyone who has heard
him before, but I don’t believe there has been a time that I didn’t learn
something from him. Anyone who read his film blog for us or heard the weekly
podcasts last year should know a lot more about the NFL and how schemes and
plays are developed after listening to him. He won’t be on this Friday, but
he’ll be on every show the rest of the way. He will be the only weekly guest
we’ll have for sure. We’ll [...]
Here’s the next round of random thoughts, this time on wide receivers:
Roy Williams/Dallas Cowboys – He probably has more pressure on him than any other receiver in the NFL, but I doubt he’ll be their top passing target. It still should be Jason Witten. The chemistry that he and Tony Romo have is about as good as it gets and it won’t happen between Williams and Romo overnight.
Devin Thomas/Washington Redskins – You could call him the key to their improvement in the passing game. Santana Moss badly needs help from a big receiver on the other side. It likely won’t be Malcolm Kelly who is coming from knee surgery. Thomas is a little raw, but has a lot of upside. If he does decently this season, the Redskin passing game could actually be pretty solid.
Devin Hester/Chicago Bears – We’re pretty convinced with Jay Cutler throwing to him that Hester will have a really good season. I see no reason based on his improvement from last year that Hester won’t be a solid #2 fantasy WR.
Percy Harvin/Minnesota Vikings – There’s no player that I’m more interested in seeing that this guy. It will be interesting to see how they use him. [...]
Recent Comments