12-Team PPR Mock Auction Review, Strategy, and Lessons Learned

On somewhat of a whim, I decided to do some mocking on Wednesday night, but instead of trying to compare ADP numbers and working out the best spots to pick from, my idea was to run an auction. We ended up getting a 12-team PPR mock auction with a $200 cap done in a few hours, although with the informal atmosphere, a handful of teams ended up going on autodraft towards the end, which ruined some values and prevented some from getting their starters before these autodrafted teams started bidding for backups. That’s while I’ll be focusing on the roster I put together and explain my thought process as best as possible throughout the auction. Other than calling it a PPR, no real lineup requirements were discussed, once again, because of the informal process of gathering everyone to participate.

First off, here’s my team with the amount I paid for each in ():

QB – Colin Kaepernick (10), Josh McCown (1)

RB – Giovani Bernard (38), Montee Ball (36), Andre Ellington (39), Devonta Freeman (1), Andre Brown (1)

WR – Josh Gordon (2), Pierre Garcon (22), Cordarrelle Patterson (17), Michael Floyd (16), Tavon Austin (3)

TE – Jared Cook (2), Eric Ebron (1)

D – Browns (1)

K – Blair Walsh (1)

$9 Left

QB – Colin Kaepernick (10), Josh McCown (1)

Thoughts/Strategy: I had no intent on paying big money for a QB, as the values are typically great if you wait and the position looks deep once again this year. On the day the 49ers signed Kaepernick to a monster extension, I wondered if his value might jump a bit, but that wasn’t the case and I was thrilled to get him for $10. My nominations of Peyton Manning and Drew Brees came early in the auction with the intent to drain some money from my competitors and it worked out quite nicely. I feel very good about Kaepernick this season with a healthy Michael Crabtree and even better with the team showing their confidence in Kaepernick with his new contract. McCown was a cheap backup and although I’m trying to curb my enthusiasm when it comes to his chances of having a good season in an intriguing Buccaneer offense, I can’t help but like the fit and the moves that team has made to add impactful skill players this off-season.

RB – Giovani Bernard (38), Montee Ball (36), Andre Ellington (39), Devonta Freeman (1), Andre Brown (1)

Thoughts/Strategy: With WR looking deeper than ever and the RB position having a lot of questions thanks to more RBBCs than we’ve ever seen before, I’ve been prepared to ignore my #2 RB spot if I felt the value wasn’t worth it, or in the case of an auction, if the price got out of hand. Of course, you have to react and revise your strategy if things don’t fall the way you expect, either positively or negatively. I was very happy to get Bernard at $38 and ended up following that up with Ball at $36, which is interesting since Ball is likely considered the better, safer fantasy option based on his situation. For a total of $74 between the two of them, the value is strong and shows that you need to adjust on the fly instead of strictly sticking to a draft/auction philosophy. I’m happy to have a pair of backs I’d put somewhere between a low-end #1 and high-end #2, but both players clearly have upside. Later on, Ellington was still available and I was in a position of power with considerable money left and just a couple of spots to fill in my lineup. If it was earlier in the auction, I would have probably let Ellington go before it got to $39, but because I could afford it, I really didn’t mind overpaying for him, especially since he’s another player with upside in a great situation. Once again, I never would have expected to have three RBs of this caliber, but things just happened to fall that way and adjustments were made. Freeman feels like a steal for just a buck and Brown is a pretty solid backup and another nice value.

WR – Josh Gordon (2), Pierre Garcon (22), Cordarrelle Patterson (17), Michael Floyd (16), Tavon Austin (3)

Thoughts/Strategy: Before addressing the guys I expect to be regular contributors, let me explain how Gordon ended up on my team. He was actually the first nomination of the auction and at $2, I have no problem taking a shot on 2013’s top receiver with the hope his suspension doesn’t last the entire season. In fact, he was the only lottery ticket I went with in the entire auction. As I mentioned earlier, the WR group is the deepest we’ve ever seen, so I had my sights on guys like Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, and Garcon, with the thought that all three could be considered #1 options. Looking back, especially with a little money left on the table, I should have spent for Nelson, who went early at just $26. That was easily my biggest mistake. With my focus shifted to getting Garcon and Patterson, they looked very nice at the prices I got them for, which was partially a result of their nominations coming later in the auction. Floyd was another later nomination and may have been one of the best values at just $16. Getting him at that number made me feel better after missing out on Nelson. Austin is certainly worth a shot as a #4, especially since the Rams don’t have much in their receiving corps.

TE – Jared Cook (2), Eric Ebron (1)

Thoughts/Strategy: Values are nice, but this is the position where I could and should have spent a little more. I never expected to spend on a big name like Jimmy Graham and instead focused on the low-end #1 options like Kyle Rudolph and Dennis Pitta. With a little too much concern about filling my flex spot, I tried to save some money and wait to take care of the TE position, but the strong values never really materialized. Spending $3 on Cook and Ebron was worth it from a value standpoint, but doesn’t give me any confidence in this duo as my top options. Cook could show improve and become a decent starter, but that’s probably reaching. Ebron looks like a great talent, but I don’t want to ask too much of a rookie TE, as history says they don’t typically put up strong numbers. If I could do it again, I’d throw more money around to secure at least one reliable TE.

D – Browns (1)/K – Blair Walsh (1)

Thoughts/Strategy: I’ll rarely spend more than a buck on these spots and didn’t have to go for more than the minimum in this auction. The Seahawks actually went for $10! Way too much to spend on a defense.

Final Thoughts: For the most part, I like this team, although that TE position is a weak spot, at least as things stand here in early June. If I did a better job managing the money I saved at QB and WR, my TE spot would have probably ended up with someone like Pitta, Rudolph, or Martellus Bennett. I love the mix of impact, upside, and youth at RB and WR, especially the great value of Floyd at $16. Unlike typical drafts, where you can look at ADP, auction values are tough to judge since each auction has so many moving parts. This was my first mock of the year and I plan on doing a few more before we put out our first set of average auction values, which will likely come at the end of June or early July. We’d love to have our subscribers involved, so be sure to keep an eye on Twitter (@TheMattCamp).

 

Category: Matt Camp

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