Sep 27, 2009
Here’s a look at my week three reaches:
Joe Flacco vs. Cleveland – Of course check the latest hour-by-hour forecasts
right before this and other games start. If the weather holds up, Flacco should
do well since the Browns have a weak pass rush and the Raven OL is one of the
best in the NFL.
Byron Leftwich vs. NY Giants – The Giant secondary has major injury
issues with two starters, so Leftwich has a chance to continue his recent
success. The bottom line is for the Buccaneers to have a chance to win, they’ll
have to likely throw it at least 40 times.
Jason Campbell at Detroit – This is about as good of a matchup that
Campbell could get, so there won’t be any excuses if he doesn’t do well. Weather
won’t be a factor since the game is indoors. The Lion secondary is one of the
worst, so the opportunity is there for him to put up solid numbers.
Fred Jackson vs. New Orleans – He went way late in drafts, but he’s not
sharing the ball at all with Marshawn Lynch still out. Jackson faces a beatable
Saint front seven and should get plenty of touches. He’s looking like a solid #2
RB this week. Even if they get far behind, he’ll still catch many passes.
Willis McGahee vs. Cleveland – Great matchup against a bad Brown run
defense. McGahee has looked as good so far as he has in the past few seasons.
He’s going to get plenty of touches and should be a rock solid #3 RB in this
Felix Jones vs. Carolina -
If starting RB Marion Barber
is inactive, Jones would be expected to handle the majority of the touches.
He’s always capable of making a big play, so even if Barber plays, Jones still
should get #3 RB/flex consideration. And if Barber plays, he may not be able to
play close to his normal amount of snaps.
Tashard Choice vs. Carolina – He would be worth using only if Barber is
inactive. If that winds up being the case, Choice would likely get at least 10
touches in the game. That would give him low-end #3 RB/flex value. The Panther
defense is passive under Ron Meeks and they can be exploited.
Tim Hightower vs. Indianapolis – It’s still Hightower’s job and he’s
looking much improved over last year. He’s running more decisively and he’s
getting lots of touches. The Colt run defense is bad again, so Hightower could
have another big game. Start him as your #3 RB.
LeSean McCoy vs. Kansas City – If Brian Westbrook is out, McCoy would be the
main ball carrier. The Chief defense is weak, so McCoy could do quite well if
BWB is out. And even if BWB plays, this game should be a blowout, so McCoy could
put up some numbers late in the game. Start him as your #3 RB if Westbrook is
Ahmad Bradshaw at Tampa Bay – He’s looked far better than Brandon Jacobs so far
and Bradshaw should see plenty of touches considering how this game should be a
blowout. Give him a shot as your #3 RB.
Darren Sproles vs. Miami – He’ll get another start and he’ll get plenty of
touches. Sproles, as noted last week here, is always capable of making a big
play no matter how tough the opponent is. Give him another shot as your #3 RB.
Correll Buckhalter at Oakland – If rookie RB Knowshon Moreno is out, Buckhalter
becomes the main ball carrier against a less than average Raider run defense.
Buckhalter has looked good so far, so if Moreno can’t play, Buckhalter would be
looking like a solid #3 RB.
Mike Sims-Walker at Houston – This should be a high-scoring game which
includes two bad defenses. There should be plenty of garbage time production in
this game, so Sims-Walker shouldn’t have a problem getting the job done as your
Santana Moss at Detroit – Yes, he didn’t show up last week when the matchup was
good. But he faces one of the three worst secondaries in the NFL, so Moss could
put up some good numbers against the weak Lion secondary.
Johnny Knox at Seattle – He’s been one of the biggest surprises so far and his
role should continue to grow in the Bear offense. Knox faces an injured Seahawk
secondary which is without two of their top three CBs. He should be pretty
active and is worth starting as your #3 WR.
Pierre Garcon at Arizona – This should be a high-scoring game and the Cardinals
are weak at CB. Garcon is capable of putting up good enough numbers in this
matchup for fantasy owners to start him as their #3 WR.
Patrick Crayton vs. Carolina – The Panther secondary lacks depth and Crayton
should see their third CB when he moves to the slot. Look for Crayton to make
some plays in the passing game and he’s worth a shot as a #3 WR.
Ted Ginn at San Diego – He’s coming off a huge game and the Charger secondary
has looked as bad so far as they did all of last season. Ginn matches up well
against them, so he’s worth a shot as your #3 WR.
Steve Smith at Tampa Bay – He may be one of the best values in fantasy this
year. He was drafted for depth, but those in PPR leagues should be starting him
now every week because of his solid role in the Giant passing game. He’s going
to be very active, so Smith is looking like a solid #3 WR or better in PPR
leagues in this matchup.
Laurent Robinson vs. Green Bay – He’s off to a great start and he’s
their top passing option. There should be a decent amount of passing in this
game, so look for Robinson to put up good numbers.
Julian Edelman vs. Atlanta – Obviously you have to check and see if he’s playing
and Wes Welker isn’t. Welker is out and Edelman is active, he’ll be expected to
replace Welker’s role again. That means lots of receptions in the slot. If
you’re in a PPR league, he’ll be good for 10-20 points if Welker is inactive.
Denver at Oakland – They are more physical this year and more aggressive.
They’ll face a struggling QB who is one of the most inaccurate in the NFL. If
you were ever going to start this defense, this week would be it.