Sep 20, 2009
It certainly will be a major challenge to be as accurate as last week, but there
are some matches that stand out:
Joe Flacco at San Diego – As we predicted, the Ravens would start
throwing more on first down and they did that quite a bit last week. OC Cam
Cameron has clearly decided to give Flacco the ball early and he’s coming
through. Look for him to exploit the shaky Charger secondary in what could be a
Kerry Collins vs. Houston – We know that they can just as easily run the
ball all game and win, but look for Collins to make some big plays in the first
three quarters when the game is relatively close. He shouldn’t have a problem
throwing for two TDs in this game.
Jason Campbell vs. St. Louis – He’s not exactly trustworthy, but the Ram
secondary is weak. The problem is their front-four can’t find any kind of
consistent pass rush. Look for 225 yards and 1-2 TDs from Campbell.
Kevin Kolb vs. New Orleans – He hasn’t looked good in relief appearances, but he’ll get a
chance to start in what should be a high-scoring game. He has plenty of talent around him,
so Kolb should be able to post good numbers by the time the game is over.
Fred Jackson vs. Tampa Bay – He looked really good last week and he’ll
face a very shaky Buccaneer defense which couldn’t stop the run last week.
Jackson will get plenty of touches and should be a solid #3 RB.
Willis McGahee at San Diego – No Jamal Williams to deal with in this
game who still might be the best 3-4 NT in the NFL. So McGahee could find some
running room and he did look good last week. The Ravens are still a running
team, so McGahee is looking like a decent flex option this week. What they want
to do is get better balance and they will do that with McGahee and their other
Leon Washington vs. New England – Like John Carlson and Mark Clayton,
Washington will be one of the better values for fantasy owners this year (9-11th
round pick). We were not impressed at all last week with the Patriot defense.
Fred Jackson really had lots of room to move around and a speedier Washington
could break off a big play or two. Start him as your #3 RB/flex option.
Darren Sproles vs. Baltimore – No LaDainian Tomlinson to deal with here. While
the Raven D is still strong against the run, Sproles will get enough touches in
this game for you to start him as your flex option.
Chester Taylor vs. Detroit – It didn’t work last week, but we have to think the
Vikings will blow out the hapless Lions in this matchup. Look for 60-70 total
yards and a TD run from Taylor. So start him as your flex option.
Jerious Norwood vs. Carolina – He looked really good in his limited work last
week and he’ll face a defense which is regressing this week. Norwood should get
more work late in the game after the Falcons take a big lead. He’s not a bad
Santana Moss vs. St. Louis – Yes, he didn’t do anything last week, but
I’ll give him one more try. If Moss can’t get it done against a bad Ram
secondary, then he probably deserves to be on your bench. He’s no longer an
every week starter, but have to think he gets it done as your #3 WR this week in
Mark Clayton at San Diego – We have a feeling that Clayton will be one of the
best values for fantasy owners this year. If you drafted in late August, you
probably stole him in rounds 12-13. Not bad for a guy you might wind up starting
most weeks. Clayton faces an inconsistent Charger secondary which does a poor
job of covering the ball in the air, which means they have trouble locating the
ball. Look for a big play or two from him and start him as your #3 WR.
Louis Murphy at Kansas City – We’ll keep riding him until someone stops him. The
Chief secondary is weak, so Murphy, who has good size and speed, shouldn’t have
too much trouble making some plays in this game. Start him as your #3 WR/flex
Michael Clayton at Buffalo – It’s taken him three years to get healthy, but he
finally seems to be. He’ll face a Bill secondary which is average and that could
be without starting CB Terrence McGee. Keep in mind starting WR Antonio Bryant
won’t be playing, so Clayton becomes their top passing option in this game. He’s
not a bad #3 WR in this matchup.
Justin Gage vs. Houston – The Texan secondary is quite shaky as we saw last week
against an average Jet passing game. Gage should make a big play or two in this
game and he’s worth starting as your flex option if needed.
Pierre Garcon at Miami – The Dolphin CBs are nothing special and Garcon’s
physicality could give them some problems. He’s not a bad flex option this week
if you’re desperate.
Josh Morgan vs. Seattle – He dropped what should have been a TD catch last week
against the Cardinals. He’ll face a very shaky Seahawk secondary and Morgan
should catch 4-5 passes and score in the red zone area. Not a bad flex option.
Steve Smith at Dallas – He’s Eli Manning’s most reliable receiver and his safety
blanket. In a sense, Smith is almost a tight end because of the way they use
him. Don’t be surprised if he catches more than 80 passes this season and don’t
be surprised if he catches 7-8 passes in this game. He’s looking like a very
solid #3 WR in PPR leagues against Dallas.
Jerheme Urban at Jacksonville – Here’s the deal, he’ll be no worse than
their #3 WR today if Anquan Boldin or Steve Breaston can’t play. And he would
probably start if Boldin can’t play since Breaston is not close to 100%. The
Jaguars only have one good cover CB, so Urban makes sense to start at least as
your flex player today if one of those two WRs are out.
Atlanta vs. Carolina – This matchup is as good as it gets for a
fantasy defense. You have a QB in Jake Delhomme who is coming off a terrible
game and his confidence is waning. Expect a decent amount of turnovers from the
Washington vs. St. Louis – If you were ever going to start this defense,
the matchup today would be the one. St. Louis looked totally inept last week
against the Seahawks and it won’t get any easier against a better Redskin
Tennessee vs. Houston – The Titans probably have a better NFL defense
than fantasy, but they should get it done at home against an inconsistent Texan
offense. Look for a decent amount of sacks and turnovers as Matt Schaub
continues to struggle.