Is the ‘Cliff’ in sight?

Cliff Lee now has 4 starts that have produced the following results:

4 wins

0.28 ERA

30 Ks

Before we annoint him as a breakout candidate, let’s take a look at some of his career stats to see if he is a prefect ‘sell high’ player or a player that you need to get at all costs. 2007- 5-8, 6.29 ERA

2006- 14-11, 4.40

2005- 18-5, 3.79

This post is to lay out information, so you can make your own determination.

First, it must be noted that Lee is 30 years old. This helps to to know that he is not a young pitcher in the learning curve of a career.

Lee’s four wins have come against the Athletics (twice), the Twins, and the Royals. There is not a better schedule that he could have hoped for, and he has taken full advantage of this opportunity. Also, he has pitched all of his games in pitcher-friendly parks.

To Lee’s credit, he has dominated a team twice (the A’s), which points to the fact that adjustments were likely made, but to no avail to the hitters.

Although Lee had shown a three-year regression in his statline, it can be pointed out that three short years ago (2005), he was a stud with the 18-5, [...]

Run away to a title

Runs and RBIs are two of the vital offensive categories and when a MLB team scores a lot of runs, you can count on hits and/or HRs to be a beneficiary. Today we will take a look at six teams and their early-season run production so you can apply it to shaping your fantasy franchise.

1) Arizona Diamondbacks: They lead the league in runs scored at over 6 per game. Since they play half of their games in an extreme hitter’s park, the good times should roll all summer. Getting D-Backs on your roster is an excellent idea. They won’t likely lead the league as they are now, but this emerging offense should finish in the top 8.

2) Chicago Cubs: Last year, the Cubs had offensive talent, but couldn’t get timely hitting to score big runs. This year, things look much better, especially with Kosuke Fukudome added to the mix. Also, don’t forget that Alfonso Soriano will be back soon and might help this offense be a juggernaut. Wrigley is an excellent hitter’s park and plays very well in the summer months. It wouldn’t surprise me if the Cubs led the league in scoring this year, and with their pitching, they might [...]

Pitchers to watch

Far too often players are written off, but none more than SPs that are in their 20′s and have a bad start to their careers. The hype machine causes us to expect great things immediately and then when it does not go as planned, player value plummets until the player resurfaces. Here are a few pitchers that once had good value, but can be found on many waiver wires and may well be strong pitchers on your staff this year:

Zack Greinke (KC). He had an amazing start to the 2007 season, and it looks like he’s at it again after three starts, boasting 3 wins, a 0.75 ERA, and a 0.92 WHIP.

Scott Olsen (Fla). So far, he has 2wins, a 3.05 ERA, and a 1.06 WHIP. Olsen looked good in 2006 for awhile, but was awful in 2007. He has great stuff, so he may merit a pickup.

Ervin Santana (LAA). Of the three pitchers in this post, he has the best chance to amass a high number of wins. So far, he has 2 wins, a 3.32 ERA, and a 1.21 WHIP.

Again, I am not saying that these pitchers have broken out, but I certainly am saying that they might [...]

Think in terms of the mean

In junior high, I remember learning that the mean was simply the mathematical average. In the world of fantasy baseball, the mean is the concept that should allow you to sleep easy at night when David Ortiz is on your team and hitting well under .100. If Ortiz hits .300 for the season, you should be getting a .330 hitter from May through September.

Unless a player is going into serious decline or is in the infancy of a career, you can generally assume that most players will catch up to their career norms after a slow start. By the same token, a player that is absoulutely on fire for the first month will see a market correction over the course of a season.

Panic is often the emotion that many fantasy players demonstrate when their players are crawling out of the gate. Here is what I suggest for fantasy owners:

1) If your players are slumping, try to get a bench player to step in for the short term, then as soon as your player starts to heat up, get him right back in the lineup and let the good times roll!

2) If your opponents have slumping players, try to make a reasonable trade [...]

Welcome to the Staff Blog

Welcome to our new Staff Blog. We’ll be updating the look of this soon, but this blog is up now and gives our staff writers their own forum to write about what’s on their minds. We hope you enjoy the new content area.

John Hansen

About Matthew Camp

Matthew Camp

Camp has been a fantasy football player since 1997, when he remembers using the box scores from the New York Daily News.

About Matthew Camp

About Joseph Dolan

Joe Dolan

Joe is a son of the video-game age - his extensive knowledge of NFL rosters dates back to the early 1990s.

About Joseph Dolan

About Tom Brolley

Tom Brolley

Brolley was blessed with the mobility of Peyton Manning, but lacked his encyclopedic football knowledge and rocket arm.

About Tom Brolley

RSS John Hansen

  • 9/5 – 9/6 projections tweaks September 5, 2015
    The final cuts are in, but we will most likely continue to have some news trickling out in the NFL over the next 1-2 days regarding roster spots, traded, etc. We’re not going to do our final update on our PDFs and Excel files until Sunday evening at the earliest, but I will but updating the projections on the site all weekend. If you have a draft and are loo […]
    John Hansen
  • The latest projections August 30, 2015
    Every year on this very day I am faced with the dilemma of having rankings that, despite being less than 2 days old, feel a little stale because of all the action in the critical third preseason game. The problem is it takes forever to update projections, comments, create the PDFs, create the excel files, and update all the apps. It cannot be done over the w […]
    John Hansen
  • 8/17 USA Today mock draft August 19, 2015
    I did an expert mock draft for USA Today and their special fantasy preview publication that will hit newsstands next week. I admittedly didn’t focus on the just the draft (I was working on several things at the time) and I simply queued up a bunch of players I liked. It wasn’t efficient at all, and I only like the squad (not love), but for what it’s worth th […]
    John Hansen